Tuesday, February 26, 2013
PAC-12 HOOPS: "Stats that Matter"
Been asked again to share some numbers used
When gauging REAL DISCERNABLE DIFFERENCES in capping PAC-12 Teams Proficiencies
Most numbers such as Turnover % & Rebound %'s
Can be easily found & used
THE DIFFERENTIAL Numbers are what can be MOST USEFUL
i.e., another dynamic way to use infinitely valuable 'TRIANGLE'
Triangulating Stats in this case:
eFG | eFG Opponents ~ eFG DIFFERENCE
Similar to the Capping Theory used on this end,
which Triangulates:
1. COACHING THEORIES
2. STATISTICIAN THEORIES
3. HANDICAPPING PRINCIPALS
__________
In any case, here are PAC-12 up to date Difference-Making Numbers
5 STATS THAT TRULY MATTER
* PROFICIENCY DIFFERENTIAL *
A lot MORE numbers ‘matter’, of course
Yet many of those are so interwoven in stylistics of Teams’ Particular scheme/philosophy
Re. 3-Point Distribution Theories, ect
* PACE | TEMPO
* MOTION vs. SCREEN-BASED OFFENSE
* MTM vs. UNFIXED DEFENSE
(or even Match-Up Zones such as Syracuse, ect)
Will wildly skew certain numbers such as
OFFENSIVE REBOUND %
(Teams that shoot more 3-Pointers will inevitably collect more O-Rebounds)
(Teams that screen-down, ect, will gain more FT’s)
NUMBERS THAT MATTER REVOLVE AROUND FIVE FUNDAMENTAL STATS
1. POINTS PER GAME MARGIN / DIFFERENCE
2. eFG% DIFFERENCE
3. FREE THROW RATE DIFFERENCE
4-A. TURNOVER %
4-B. ASSIST TO TURNOVER %
5-A. REBOUND %
5-B. OFFENSIVE REBOUND % DIFFERENCE
POINTS PER GAME MARGIN / DIFFERENCE
1. ARIZ +6.1
2. UCLA +3.3
3. ORE +3.1
4. COLO +2.8
5. STAN + 2.3
6. AZST +1.5
7 CAL +0.8
8. WASH -0.8
9. USC -2.0
10. OSU -3.7
11. WZU -6.7
12. UTAH -6.8
eFG% DIFFERENCE
1. ARIZ +9.1%
2. UCLA +4.8%
3. ORE +4.6%
4. COLO +4.3%
5. STAN +3.4%
6. AZST +2.0%
7. CAL +0.9%
8. WASH -1.3%
9. USC -2.6%
10. ORST -5.4%
11. UTAH -10.1%
12. WZU -10.7%
FREE THROW RATE DIFFERENCE
1. COLO +11.5%
2. UCLA +8.5%
3. ORE +6.7%
4. ORST +4.5%
5. AZST +4.0%
6. ARIZ -0.5%
7. STAN -0.8%
8. UTAH -4.7%
9. WZU -4.9%
10. CAL -6.6%
11. WASH -8.5%
12. USC -10.5%
TURNOVER %
1. UCLA +4.0%
2. WZU +2.1%
3. STAN +1.9%
4. ARIZ +1.2%
5. COLO +0.3%
6. CAL | EVEN
7. AZST -0.2%
8. ORE -0.4%
9. ORST -1.3%
10. WASH -1.7%
11. UTAH -2.0%
12. USC -4.0%
ASSIST TO TURNOVER %
1. UCLA +0.5%
2. CAL +0.3%
3. STAN +0.1%
5-T. ARIZ | EVEN
5-T. ORE | EVEN
5-T. COLO | EVEN
5-T. UTAH | EVEN
8-T. AZST -0.1%
8-T. WASH -0.1%
8-T. ORST -0.1%
8-T. WZU -0.1%
12. USC -0.4%
REBOUND %
1. WASH 54.4%
2. ORE 53.4%
3. ARIZ 52.7%
4. COLO 50.8%
5. ORST 50.6%
7-T. STAN 50.0%
7-T. USC 50.0%
7-T. WZU 50.0%
9. AZST 49.5%
10. CAL 48.5%
11. UCLA 45.2%
12. UTAH 45.0%
OFFENSIVE REBOUND % DIFFERENCE
1. WASH 37.1%
2. ORE 34.1%
3. ARIZ 33.4%
4. COLO 33.3%
5. ORST 32.6%
6. CAL 30.6%
7. USC 30.0%
8. WZU 28.7%
9. STAN 28.5%
10. AZST 28.2%
11. UCLA 26.4%
12. UTAH 23.6%
For what its' worth, as always. Thanks, Guys
W-O-W
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