WEEK 7: LOOKING AT CFB’s 35 TEAMS WITH 1 or 0 LOSS

ENTERING WEEK 7,

35 of 120 FBS Teams (Roughly 30%)
Have 0 or 1-Loss (29.2%)

13 UNBEATEN TEAMS REMAIN
OVER ½ ARE SOMEWHAT PROJECTED

6-0 LSU
6-0 ALABAMA
5-0 OKLAHOMA
5-0 OKLAHOMA STATE
5-0 WISCONSIN
5-0 STANFORD
5-0 BOISE STATE

FAVORABLE SCHEDULES,
MAKE NEXT 3 LESS-THAN-SHOCKING:

6-0 MICHIGAN (Week 7: Wolves Play Road Game #2)
6-0 HOUSTON
6-0 ILLINOIS (Week 7: Ill at Home for 6TH Time)

Yet, 3 REMAINING UNBEATEN TEAMS
COULD BE WORTH SERIOUS FADE-LOOK(S),

NATL SPOTLIGHT MAY GET BLINDING
OVER THE NEXT FEW WKS:

6-0 CLEMSON
6-0 GEORGIA TECH
5-0 KANSAS STATE

6 OF 9 TMS in ACTION w/JUST ONE 2011 RD GM
Also in Group of 35 w/0 or 1 LOSS

LOG-JAM OF 22 TEAMS w/1 LOSS

CONTAIN A FEW OVERLOOKED,
PERHAPS FORGOTTEN TEAMS

HIGHER-PROFILE:

5-1 SOUTH CAROLINA

Turnovers & all, Cocks' are Red-Hot on Radar
ESPECIALLY after Carolina not only beat up on punchless Ky,
USC got +5 of those Turnovers Back
& Allowed the 3RD Worst Offense in CFB an astonishing 95 TTL YDS
Even vs. Ky…allowing Just 95 Yds in a Conf Gm is a revelation

4-1 OREGON

Not Off-Radar at all,
Only loss was HIGHEST-PROFILE
Add to this, LaMichael James 'gruesome injury'
(Far Less serious than a Blown Knee, ect)
Another Move that'll work
To Costume-wearing Ducks advantage
(Into Water-Cooler Convo's everywhere last Friday)
11/12 GAME AT UNBEATEN STANFORD
Will be 'Game-of-the-Year' Atmosphere in The Bay

OVERLOOKED TEAMS?

5-1 ARKANSAS

2ND Highest 1-Loss Team (Power-Rankings)
Not getting much BUZZ
'Dominated' Defending National Champs, Auburn in Week 6, 38-14
(Though Tigers outgained Hogs by 40 Total Yards)

5-1 NORTH CAROLINA

3-3 ATS Enigma
Averaging a moderate +23 Yd Margin/Game

'ONLY-LOSS-TO-AN-UNBEATEN' TEAMS:

5-1 VIRGINIA TECH
5-1 PENN STATE
5-1 WEST VIRGINIA
5-1 ARIZONA STATE
5-1 ARKANSAS

Not exceptional to see these Teams here
ONLY LOSS for EACH was to a current UNBEATEN TEAM
Yet, Penn St, VT & WV all Lost at HOME
What IS Unusual is VT & PENN ST are INEXPLICABLY 1-5 ATS

VA TECH: SUB-.500 ATS is especially atypical
VA TECH: 58-33 ATS (63.7%) Last 7 Years, Entering 2011

PENN ST: Crazy-Good D; (251 YPGA)
PENN ST: Underproductive Offense = Weak ATS
PENN ST: Avg Decent 375 YPG; Yet just 17.6 PPG

ARK: 2ND Highest 1-Loss Team (Power-Rankings)
Not getting much Buzz

ASU: 2-4 ATS, Illogical though process in Tempe?
Yet Sparky at 3-0 in PAC-12 South…
SINCERELY may not believe they NEED to Win at ORE this Wk…
THE ARIZ ST MEDIA/BEAT-WRITERS AREN'T DOING DEVS ANY FAVORS
Overheard AZ Republic's ASU Beat Writer, Doug Haller
Stated on PAC-12 MEDIA TELECONFERENCE THIS WEEK:
"ARIZ ST is a LOCK in PAC-12 South… Regardless"

REASONING?

1. Bottom-3 of 6 PAC-12 South
(Az/Utah/Colo) 0-10 Combined (Conf)

2. So Cal Ineligible (2-1 Conf)

3. UCLA is 2-1 Conference
(WINS Over Wazzu & OSU)

"If 3-3 (1-5 ATS) Bruins survive Final 6 Games
w/Coach Neuheisel still on sidelines,
It'd be a small miracle"

Haller leaves out a few minor details:
UCLA's REMAINING SCHEDULE:
UCLA gets ARIZ ST AT HOME
UCLA Road Games?
UCLA is at Blown-Up AZ next week (Following UCLA & AZ bye)
UCLA then HOSTS CAL & ARIZ ST
UCLA then travels to reeling UTAH
UCLA then HOSTS COLO
UCLA Closes w/Rival SO CAL

After ARIZONA STATE Loses at Oregon
The SOUTH Birth in the PAC-12 Title Gm?
11-05: ARIZONA STATE at UCLA

The North Birth is Obvious:
11-12: OREGON at STANFORD

THE 'DREADED 'L' WORD Rears its ugly head
NEVER wise to call ANYTHING A LOCK

WAIT-&-SEE TEAMS:

5-1 MICHIGAN STATE

Schizoid Sparty gets 2ND chance
MSU looks to make amends for ND's East Lansing beatdown

5-1 NEBRASKA

Huskers are back from the DEAD in the Shoe'
Nebraska looks a whole lot better w/C-Bus comeback
NOW, only NU loss: at Wisky Wreaking Crew?

4-1 TEXAS

Maybe they ARE a Yr Early; The 'Denny-Green' Team.

4-1 BAYLOR

G-III has Bears still in National Spotlight
Bears may be another possible fade team (3-1 ATS)

FLOATERS:

4-1 SMU

Largely forgotten after opening fiasco at A&M,
SMU has rolled to 4x Wins since,
Despite dismal #119 Rated T-Over Margin
Ponies play very good Defense, also (296 YPGA)

4-1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

Motivation must be the eternal question w/backing SC
Trojans also one of those teams w/just 1 Road Game so far
(& SC Lost: 43-22 at Az St)

4-1 TEXAS TECH

Another 4-1 ATS Team
TT Avg's sparkling 0.6 T-Overs/Gm
SUPERB for a team that compiles 525 YPG of TTL OFFENSE?
(TT also +104 YPG Avg Margin)

4-1 SOUTH FLORIDA

Hard to Forget Bulls
Stunning WIN at ND (w/-254 TTL YD Margin)
Then, Bandwagon-Jumper Special Blowout Loss at reeling Pitt
(On Thu ESPN Special Showcase)
SF is still rolling up 510 TTL YPG (& +155 YPG Margin)

SURPRISE TEAMS

4-1 RUTGERS

ALREADY equaled Knights'' 2010 Win total
RUTGERS #1 FBS, T-OVER MARGIN (+2.8/Gm)
RUTGERS #1 FBS, TAKEAWAYS (4.5/Gm)
RUTGERS ALSO ALARMINGLY MEAGER OFFENSIVELY
RUTG AVG 315 YPG (Just +15 YPG Margin)
These #'s have a way of evening-out

4-1 WASHINGTON

I KNOW I'VE BEEN DOWN ON U-DUB….
Guess What? Sincerely believe I was ½ Wrong…
Can't argue much w/4-1 ATS & S-U
HOWEVER…
UW WIN at UTAH is Looking FAR less notable
After Utes continuing struggles w/o QB Wynn
UU 35-14 second of BTB Home L's
UTAH HAS 11 MAJOR INJURIES…
& UW HAS ZERO INJ LISTED
MOREOVER,
UW ALLOWS ROUGHLY 30 PPG (29.4)
UW HAS A SIGNIFICANTLY NEGATIVE YDGE MARGIN AVG
UW OFF: 391
UW DEF: 427
UW: -36 YPG?
Wash is not high or low in T-Over or Penalty Margin…
Wash is WEAK IN NEARLY EVERY DEFENSIVE CATEGORY
WASH IS SOMEWHAT-BETTER-THAN-AVG in Offensive Ones…
& UW LB's will be BRUTALLY Opened up by STN Next Week

I REMAIN CONVINCED
WASH MEDIOCRE FOUNDATION WILL BE EXPOSED
Maybe not this week… soon enough

4-1 CINCINNATI

Bearcats, live Rutgers at 4-1 ATS
Also damn good (#7) T-Over Margin (+3.2)
CINCY: +91 YPG Margin

5-1 WAKE FOREST

Definitely hearing about Deacs 3-0 in ACC
& in connection to beating Fla St
Adding fuel to Rubberneckers' Dream-Train-Wreak
(FSU situation offers | Noles' 2-3 Record
& 3-Gm free-fall stemming from OU Gm)
Florida State lost not only Gm to Sooners,
But also FSU QB Manuel to Injury
MANY FILE TO IDENTIFY:
FSU MOUNTED FURIOUS COMEBACK LAST WEEK,
AFTER FSU QB Manuel Entered Game
At Midway-Point in Winston-Salem
w/FSU Down 7-16

5-1 SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

Nice Story; & Eagles are surging
Probably bad time for a Bye, w/4x ATS

5-1 LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

Last 1-Loss Team