2011 PAC-12 NORTH FOOTBALL: Inagural Season

2011 PAC-12 NORTH / STATISTICAL PREVIEW

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California Bears 2011

   

RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

CAL BEARS | 2-DEEP / Sr STATS

#4 Cal | 14 Total Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#9 Cal | Total Starters Returning in 2011 (12)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#8 Cal | Total Letterman Returning (49)

#2 Cal | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (18)

#3 Cal | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+31)

#9 Cal | Total Letterman Starters Ret (53.3% | #96 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

#6 Cal | 61% Experience Rating

CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS | 2011 OFFENSE

#5 Cal | O-Starters Returning (7) New QB

#12 Cal | O-Ydge Returning (37%)

#3 Cal | O-Line Starts Returning (85 Starts)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2011 OFFENSE UNIT RANKS

#9 CALIFORNIA QUARTERBACK(s)

#9 CALIFORNIA RUNNING BACK(s) | RUSHING

#6 CALIFORNIA RECEIVER CORPS (WR | TE)

#5 CALIFORNIA OFFENSIVE LINE

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2011 DEFENSE

#11 Cal | D-Starters Returning (5)

#9 Cal | D-Tackles Returning (58%)

CAL BEARS | 2011 DEFENSIVE UNIT RANKS

#2 CALIFORNIA DEFENSIVE LINE

#4 CALIFORNIA LINEBACKERS

#6 CALIFORNIA SECONDARY

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2011 SPECIAL TMS

#5 Cal | 2011 Special Teams Rating

Cal 1 of 3 PAC-12 to Return BOTH Starting PK & P

Experienced SR's back w/each position:

Cal P Sr 6-4 | 203 Brian Anger (1st Tm All-Conf | x2)

Cal K St 5-8 | 174 Giorgio Tavecchio (9-13 FG | Long 42)

Two +50 YFG Career, yet just 1 Kickoff Touchback) 

Taveccio back-up, D'Amato: bigger leg, less accurate

(7-12 L-Yr, Two 47 YFG)

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2010 RECAP

CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS 4-8 (2-7 Conf | 4-8 ATS)

CALIFORNIA | 2010 SCORING

#7 CALIFORNIA 25.8 PPG (#73 Nat'l)

#10 CALIFORNIA CONF GMS: 19.4 PPG

#4  CALIFORNIA OPPONENTS: 22.6 PPG (#40 Nat'l)

#4  CALIFORNIA CONF GM OPP: 23.2 PPG

#6 CALIFORNIA PPG MARGIN: +3.2 PPG

#8 CALIFORNIA CONF MARGIN: <-3.8> PPG

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 OFFENSE

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#9  CALIFORNIA TTL YPG: 334 Yd/Gm (#90 Nat'l)

#12 CALIFORNIA CONF YPG: 292 Yd/Gm

CALIFORNIA | 2011 RUSH OFFENSE

#6 Cal | Rushing: 159 Yds/Gm (#51 Nat'l)

#2 Cal | Fumbles Lost: 4 (#8 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 PASS OFFENSE

#10 CAL | Passing: 175 Yd/Gm (#94 Nat'l)

#5  CAL | Int Thrown: 11 | 0.917/Gm (#41 Nat'l)

#6  CAL | Tackles For Loss Alwd: 6.3/Gm (#44 Nat'l)

#6  CAL | Ttl Sacks Alwd: 22 | 1.833/Gm (#54 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA 2010 | OFFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#11 CALIFORNIA 3RD DOWN: 35% (#99 NAT'L)

#1  CALIFORNIA RED-ZONE': 79.0% (#11 NAT'L)

#1  CALIFORNIA TD%: 72.3% (#7 NAT'L)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 DEFENSIVE RANKS

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#1 CAL TTL 'D' | YDS ALWD: 319 (#18 Nat'l)

#4 CAL SCORING 'D' | PTS ALWD: 22.6 (#40 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 RUSH DEFENSE

#6 CAL | Rush Yd Alwd: 133 YPG (#35 Nat'l)

#7 CAL | Fumbles Forc'd/Recov'd: 10 | 0.833/Gm (#48 Nat'l)

#6 CAL | Tackles-For-Loss: 6.3/Gm (#44 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 PASS DEFENSE

#1  CAL | Pass Yds Alwd: 186 YPG (#21 Nat'l)

#10 CAL | Int Gained: 0.75/Gm (#80 Nat'l)

#2  CAL | Sacks Obtained 33 | 2.75/Gm (20# Nat'l)

#3  CAL | Pass-Efficiency 'D' (#17 Nat'l)

CAL 2010 | DEFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#2 CALIFORNIA 3RD DOWN 'D': 34.7% (#17 NAT'L)

#3 CALIFORNIA RED-ZONE 'D': 79.0% (#35 NAT'L)

#9 CALIFORNIA TD% ALWD: 63.2% (#74 NAT'L)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 MISC KEY STATS

#8 CALIFORNIA 2010 SPECIAL TEAMS

#5 CAL | T-Over Margin: +0.17 (#45 Nat'l)

#7 CAL | Penalties: 6.7/Gm (#89 Nat'l)

#7 CAL | Penalties: 57 Yds/Gm (#84 Nat'l)

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 ATS TRENDS

2010 CAL BEARS: 

Quick Start.....Weak Finish

    CALIFORNIA STARTED 3-1 ATS

    CALIFORNIA FINISHED 1-4 ATS

Cal Bears Began 2010 Season RED-HOT…as usual

CALIFORNIA BEARS | 2010 QUALITY W's | COVER(S):

WEEK 2: 

COLO at CAL -10  | California 52, Colorado 7

Bears jumped on PAC-12-Bound Buffs

In dominant fashion

Cal truly bolted out, benefiting from +5 Turnovers

Bears hibernated from there,

Far-less dominant than it may appear

CALIFORNIA BEARS

2010 SUBSTANDARD L's | FAILED COVER(S):

Just 1 Wk following Cal's heavy-handed 52-7 win

Over Big-XII CU Buffs

The Bears ventured across Sierras to Reno to take on Nevada

The Pack hammered a lifeless Bears' 52-31

In front of a Nat'l TV ESPN2 Weeknight Audience

Simply put - when Cal lost - they were put down HARD

Especially ATS

Cal's SIX 2010 ATS Losses, 5 were Double-Digit ATS L's

Cal - in these 6 ATS Losses, Cal fell short by following margins:

   -23½ (at Nevada)

   -32 (at Southern California)

   -25½ (at Oregon State)

   -28½ (STANFORD)

   -10½ (WASHINGTON)   

#12 CALIFORNIA 2010 CLOSE GAME RECORD: 0-3

(LOWEST IN PAC-12)

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Stanford Cardinal 2011

 

RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

STANFORD CARDINAL | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS

#12 Stan | 9 Ttl Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#11 Stan | 11 Ttl Starters Returning in 2011

STANFORD CARDINAL | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#1 Stan | Total Letterman Returning (58)

#4 Stan | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (20)

#1 Stan | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+38)

#7 Stan | Total Letterman Starters Ret (53.3% | #78 Nat'l)

STANFORD 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

#11 Stan | 48% Experience Rating

STANFORD OFFENSE 2011

#11 Stan | Offense Starters Returning (7)

Including #1 Rated PAC-12 QB, Jr Andrew Luck

#3  Stan | Offensive Yardage Returning (85%)

#10 Stan | Offensive Line Starts Returning (50 Starts)

STANFORD OFFENSE UNIT RANKS 2011

#1 STANFORD QUARTERBACK(s)

STN QB Jr 6-4¼ | 241 Andrew Luck Sure-Fire Top-5 NFL

Obviously, Luck STUNNED PAC-12 Insiders & NFL-Scouts

By announcing he'd return to Stanford for his Jr Yr

ESPECIALLY after HC Jim Harbaugh

Bailed across Bay to Coach NFL-Niners'

#9 STANFORD RUSHING

Seems low - #4 Returning PAC-12 Rush Man,

STN 5-11 | 216 Jr Stephen Taylor (1137 Yd)

Running Behind  Seasoned OL?

#6 STANFORD RECEIVING

Essentially new Trio of Starters for Luck to Find

#5 STANFORD OFFENSIVE LINE

50 Gm Starts on Stan OL

STANFORD 2010 DEFENSE

#10 STN | Defense Starters Returning (6)

#6  STN | Defense Tackles Returning

STANFORD DEFENSE UNIT RANKS 2011

#11 STANFORD DEFENSIVE LINE

A little Undervalued, w/3-4 Defense not easy for DL's

Notably inexperienced at all-important NT

#3 STANFORD LINEBACKERS

Two Solid Experienced Starting Jr's

To Flank Incoming TRUE FRESHMAN,

HS-All American LB Vaughtners

#7 STANFORD SECONDARY

* Undervalued Unit*

3 of 4 Experienced Starters from This Unit

Stan DB's were close 2ND to Ore

STAN #2 PAC-12 Picks & #2 Pass Break-Ups

STANFORD | 2011 SPECIAL TEAMS

#12 STANFORD | 2011 Special Teams Rating

If Stanford has a weakness, it's clearly Special Teams

P Sr 6-1 | 208 David Green Avg #6 Punter

PK rFr P 5-11 | 182 Williamson

Big Leg, yet even in HS, Williamson was reportedly streaky

Stanford was fortunate in 2010

To convert an absurd 58% on 3RD  Downs

Also had #17 Nat'l  68.8 % TD Score/Ratio

2010 RECAP

STANFORD CARDINAL 12-1 (8-1 Conf | - ATS)

STANFORD SCORING 2011

#2 STANFORD 40.3 PPG (#9 Nat'l)

#2 STANFORD 36.3 PPG, Conference Games

#1 STANFORD OPPONENT 17.4 PPG (#9 Nat'l)

#1 STANFORD OPPONENTS 17.7 CONF PPG

#2 STANFORD PPG MARGIN: +23 PPG

#2 STANFORD CONF PPG MGN: +18.6

STANFORD 2010 | OFFENSE | PAC-12 Rank*

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#2 TOTAL YDS / GM: 472 Yds/Gm (#14 Nat'l)

#2 TOTAL CONF YDS / GM: 459 Yds/Gm

STANFORD RUSHING OFFENSE 2010

#2 Stan | Rush Offense Yds/Gm: 214 Yds/Gm, (#17 Nat'l)

#7 Stan | Fumbles Surrendered: 9 | 0.693/Gm (#47 Nat'l)

STANFORD PASSING OFFENSE 2010

#2 Pass Offense: 286 Yds/Gm (#15 Nat'l)

#1 Int Thrown (Fewest): 8 INT | 0.62/Gm (#3 Nat'l)

#2 Tackles For Loss Alwd: 4.2/Gm (#13 Nat'l)

#1 Total Sacks Alwd: 6 SACKS ALWD | 0.45/Gm (#3 Nat'l)

STANFORD 2010  OFFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#1 STANFORD 3RD DOWN: 58% (#1 NAT'L)

#2 STANFORD RED-ZONE: 89% (#13 NAT'L)

#2 STANFORD TD% SCORES: 68.8% (#17 NAT'L)

STANFORD 2010 RANK | DEFENSE

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#2 TTL DEFENSE | YDS ALWD: 323 Yds Alwd (#24 Nat'l)

#3 TTL DEFENSE CONF | YDS ALWD: 346 Yds Alwd

STANFORD RUSH DEFENSE 2010

#3  Rush Yds Alwd: 121 Yds/Gm (#19 Nat'l)

#2  Fumbles Forced/Recovered: 12 | 0.923/Gm (#28 Nat'l)

#12 Tackles-For-Loss: 5.4/Gm (#72 Nat'l)

STANFORD PASS DEFENSE 2010

#3 Pass Yds Alwd: 202 Yds/Gm (#35 Nat'l)

#2 Interceptions Gained: 18 | 1.38/Gm (#18 Nat'l)

#1 Sacks Obtained 36 | 2.77/Gm (#13 Nat'l)

#2 Pass-Efficiency 'Defense' (#16 Nat'l)

STANFORD 2010 | DEFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#5 STANFORD 3RD DOWN 'D': 58% (#30 NAT'L)

#5  STANFORD RED-ZONE 'D': 79.3% (#40 NAT'L)

#10 STANFORD TD% ALWD: 65.5% (#87 NAT'L)

STANFORD 2010 MISCELLANEOUS KEY STATS

#7 STANFORD SPECIAL TEAMS RANK (#46 Nat'l)

#1t Turnover Margin +1.0 (#7 Nat'l | Tied w/ORE)

#1 Penalties: 5.0/Gm (#21 Nat'l)

#1 Penalties: 45 Yds/Gm (#33 Nat'l)

STANFORD ATS TRENDS

2010 CARDINAL:  BLISTERING Finish

STANFORD FINISHED 5-0-1 ATS

STANFORD 'BOMBED THEIR FINAL 3 OPPONENTS

BOTH S-U & ATS | SPREAD MARGIN:

   at California | STAN COVER MARGIN: +27½

   OREGON STATE | STAN COVER MARGIN: +24

   ORANGE BOWL v VT| STAN COVER MARGIN: +34½

No team in FBS Football closed any hotter than STN

#3 STANFORD 2010 CLOSE GAME RECORD: 2-0

(3RD BEST in PAC-12)

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Oregon Ducks 2011

RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

OREGON DUCKS | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS

#7 Oregon | 11 Total Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#10 Oregon | Total Starters Returning in 2011 (11)

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#9  Oregon | Total Letterman Returning (48)

#10 Oregon | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (23)

#3  Oregon | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+25)

#7  Oregon | Total Letterman Starters Ret (57% | #83 Nat'l)

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

                           

#7 Oregon Ducks | 57% Experience Rating

                                        

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 OFFENSE

#8 Oregon | O-Starters Returning (6) Incl QB

#5 Oregon | O-Yardage Returning (76%)

#9 Oregon | O-Line Starts Returning (56 Starts)

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 OFFENSE UNIT RANKS

#3 OREGON QUARTERBACK(s)

ORE QB Jr 6-4 | 227 Darron Thomas

2ND Team All-Conference Quarterback in 2010

Thomas’ not often mentioned in same esteem

As Top Drop-Back PAC-12 QB’s:

   Stanford - Andrew Luck

   Arizona - Nic Foles

   Southern California - Matt Barkley

   Oregon State - Ryan Katz

   Utah - Jordan Wynn

Nonetheless, Oregon’s Jr QB Darron Thomas

DESERVES a place setting at THIS exclusive table, w/THIS elite group

UNDENIABLE #1 UNDERPINNING of

OREGON’s PHENOMENAL 2010 SUCCESS RATE:

QB DARRON THOMAS SIMPLY STAYING ON THE FIELD

Oregon aided unequivocally from Thomas’ Durability

OREGON’s LATE-SEASON QB INJURIES

Have been a cruel bugaboo of Oregon Football

THREE-ORE TRENDS | MORE THAN COINCIDENCE | 2-3 YRS:

1.  ORE QB’s 3-YR RUN-TO-PASS RATIO:

     2008-2009: 40.3%

     2009-2010: 32.3%

     2010-2011: 25.8%

2.  MASOLLI/THOMAS STARTED ORE 25 of 26 GMS 09-11

3.  HC CHIP KELLY’s Two-Yr Ore Record: 22-4

Oregon Trends here are emblematic of a gradual evolution

Of QB Position in Kelly’s Spread

Ducks’ innovative, Chip Kelly reworked Spread modification(s),

QB inherently, distinctly more vulnerable

QB is a Statue in Oregon’s ‘Bone’,

‘Sealed’ from contact, w/safe-exchange

Yet planted for 2-3x treacherous seconds,

Dead-solid / Center-Target

NOW, the gradual, 4-Year Ore QB progression to just “¼-Run”

& avg SEVEN QB-Keepers per game

Clearly bourn from BOTH necessity & happenstance

ORE HC Kelly - Perception = Reality

Chip Kelly & Oregon had to alter QB approach

From an athlete Kelly targets

w/balance necessary to keep Defenses honest

w/overwhelming need for OFFENSIVE CONTINUITY -

& Move to Priority #1: “Keeping QB on Field”

Kelly’s alterations of Ore QB Position, measured yet explicit:

PASS | RUN RATIO (For QB ALONE)

  06/07 DIXON: 32.2% Run (12 QB Carries | 25.3 Pass | Avg)

  08/09 MASOLI: 40.2% Run (13½ QB Carries | 20 Pass | Avg)

  2010 THOMAS: 25% Run (7 QB Carries | 28 Pass | Avg)

QB Carries down to 7 Carries a Gm

Was the idyllic mix of keeping tms respectful of Thomas’ Running

(Thomas averaged 7.2 YPC) & his sturdy frame

Chip Kelly & OC Mark Helfrich

Deliberately altered ORE Spread-QB NICHE’

Chip Kelly stated, since his arrival in Eugene (2007)

(From FBS-New Hampshire)

Thomas is precisely QB “TYPE” we’re looking for:

“A PASSER who can RUN, Instead of a RUNNER who can PASS”

INTRO 2008: ‘Pass-First’ QB, DARRON THOMAS

THOMAS: 1ST “ALL” CHIP-KELLY RECRUITED QB

Handpicked w/idyllic skill-set(s) & qualities

To Run KELLY’s OREGON T-BONE, Spread QB;

  i.  Consummate, polished passer

  ii. Robust-size & toughness; absorb multiple weekly collisions & hit

Darron Thomas hasn’t disappointed.

IN THOMAS FIRST-FULL SEASON

   In Goldenrod &/or

   Mat-Black &/or

   Green &/or

   Metallic-Silver &/or

   Emerald &/or

   Lightning-Yellow &/or

   Slate Gray &/or

   Highlighter-Yellow &/or

   White

THOMAS 2010 PROFICIENCY WAS IRREFUTABLE:

Darron Thomas 2010 PAC-12 QB Rankings:

   #2. TD’s 30 | #11 Nat’l (Luck-32 TD / #7 Nat’l

   #2. PASS RATING 151 | #7 Nat’l (Luck-171 / #3 Nat’l)

   #2. FEWEST INT 9 | #6 Nat’l (Luck-8 | #5 Nat’l)

   #2. +YDS PER PASS ATT 8.0 | #14 Nat’l (Luck – 9.0 | #5 Nat’l)

Thomas 62% Passing Clip

Thomas BETTER-than 3 to 1 TD/INT Ratio  

Thomas ESCAPEABILITY

Ore permitted 9 TOTAL SACKS all Season

(#9 Nat’l | 0.693 Sacks/Gm)

Thomas’ UNDERRATED Running, w/Only 7 Rushes/Gm,

More than ¼ of Thomas’ Carries were broken-plays

(26 of Thomas 91 ‘Carries’ classified improv, i.e., Busted Plays)

THUS, D Thomas made a good deal of ‘lemonade’

Thomas Avg’d 7.2 YPC, w/28.6% of which were ‘ad-lib’

MOREOVER, Darron Thomas returned to Eugene Fri (07-29)

A bit bigger & presumably, stronger

Thomas is brandishing +15 lbs of new upper-body bulk

Thomas has reportedly grown ¾” since Jan 2011

ORE will reportedly list Thomas vitals

OREGON’s September 2011 Depth Chart:

ORE QB Jr 6-4 | 227 Darron Thomas, for what it’s worth

Thomas’ better-than-avg size durability &

& Oregon’s notably raised QB Pass-to-Carry% Rate

STILL HAS NOT MOVED/CHANGED

OREGON’s TEAM RUSH-to-PASS RATIO

In fact, Oregon sprinkled ½+ 1ST-D Passes (Avg)/Gm

2008 to Present, Oregon’s Offensive Mix

Exceptionally Consistent 60-40 to 62-38 Rush/Pass Ratios

   07: ORE 60.0% RUSH | 40.0% PASS (615 | 410 - 1025)

   08: ORE 61.0% RUSH | 39.0% PASS (585 | 374 – 959)

   09: ORE 61.5% RUSH | 38.5% PASS (537 | 348 - 885)

   10: ORE 61.8% RUSH | 38.2% PASS (640 | 384 - 1074)

ORE's spirited, gifted Crackerjack, athletic stable of youthful QB’s

Behind Thomas, ALL eager to twirl & pivot

& become next Dixon, Masoli or Thomas

NONE has seen meaningful action under Center

KELLY OPENLY INTENDS to insert BOTH

ORE QB Soph 6-4 | 195 Hawkins &/OR

ORE QB rFr 6-2 | 178 Bennett

Bennett was thrust into becoming Thomas’ Back-up Last Yr,

ORE: fortunate w/Redshirting Bennett

Thomas made it thru Glendale

Many ‘experts’ see Hawkins & Bennett as legitimate insurance options

& this is ‘Non-Issue’

The ORE QB’s on-the-job, all-or-nothing acquired skill,

Not only should Oregon mix in Hawkins &/or Bennett

We ought to EXPECT this from Chipper….

More often & Earlier in Gms

POSSIBLE ORE FADE OPPORTUNITIES:

OREGON’s OOC & Lower-Tier Conference Games

w/DUCKS LIKELY 3-TD(+) RANGE HEAVY-FAV’s:

   09/10 NEVADA

   10/06 CALIFORNIA

   10/22 at Colorado

   10/29 WAZZU

OREGON QB just appears to be

(even MORE SO than most all QB-ing/Offensive Systems)

Such a precision, Game-rep, progression

Running Kelly’s Spread has been

ALL-OR-NOTHING, ACQUIRED, LEARNED SKILL

#1 OREGON RUSHING

Ducks crazy-good, DYNAMIC duo:

ORE RB Jr 5-9 | 190 LaMichael James

ORE SLOT/BACK Jr 5-11 | 177 Kenjon Barner

OREGON 2011 RUNNING BACK UNIT IS LISTED AS

#1 NATIONALLY RATED RUSHING UNIT

Consensus 2011 Preseason Unit Rankings by Phil Steele, Athlon

ORE RB Jr 5-9 | 188 LaMichael James

Heisman Finalist James’ seller 2010 season stands on its’ own:

2010 James: 1731 TTL YDS | 21 TD’d | 5.9 YD/CAR | 133 YPG

2009 James: 1546 TTL YDS | 6.7 YPC | 141 YPG

24 STARTS | 3277 TOTAL YARDS RUSHING | 137 YPG!

2010 Part-Timer, Converted Cornerback

ORE SLOT/BACK Jr 5-11 | 177 Kenjon Barner

Rolled up nearly 600 Yd (6.1 Avg Car) l-yr also

Oregon’s jam-packed Backfield Depth-Chart

Includes patently overloaded, stable of youthful, explosive athleticism

OREGON’s BACKFIELD DEPTH | SUPREMACY:

DUCKS MORE TOP-10 RECRUITS (& Team Speed)

84% FBS Full-Roster(s): [40-Times listed after Vitals]

#3 Nat’l Recruit (Maligned):

ORE RB rFr 5-9 | 190 Seastrunk [4.37]

   #2 Nat’l Recruit: ORE RB Fr 5-8½ | 155 D’Anthony Thomas [4.315]

   #6 Nat’l Recruit: ORE SLOT/H-BK Fr 6-1 | 176 Blackmon [4.332]

   #7 Nat’l Recruit: ORE SLOT/H-BK rFr 5-8½ | 167 Lowe [4.297]

OREGON’s out-of-this-world skill-position

Depth & Speed is a cornerstone of

Oregon Ducks’ 2010 #1 FBS Offensive Production

& Envy of every Spread-Option Program in College Football.

Even w/all this OREGON DEPTH,

Oregon Starting Offense Starts 10 Upperclassmen

#8 OREGON RECEIVING (WR | TE)

Primary questions w/this Unit involve Health

Maintaining fitness of ONE KEY returning WR (Tuinei)

ORE WR Sr 6-5 | 213 Tuinei (JUCO)

Only Duck Wideout Receiver w/Starting Experience

Both Tuinei’s seasons in Eugene were injury-shortened                    

Leaving All-Conf TE Paulson

ORE Top Retuning Pass-Catcher

ORE TE Sr 6-4 | 244 Paulson

Ducks 3RD Leading Receiver in 2010

ORE #1 & #2 Receivers gone

   Graduation (Maehl)

   NFL (Davis)

Oregon lists entirely new-arrival at 2ND WR,

JUCO WR 6-2 | 195 Vaughn

Behind Tuinei & Vaughn,

Oregon is fulfilling the Chip Kelly SPEED to KILL objectives

ORE WR Soph (BACK-UP) 5-11 | 204 Huff

Josh Huff is one of TWO Ore Players (along w #1 L James)

On the 9 PAC-12 Nat’l Big-Play Gm Changers

2010 TOP-100, ‘Big-Play’ Guys

53 FBS Big-Play Men Return in 2011

Of those 53, NINE COME BACK in from PAC-12

OREGON’s JOSH HUFF is #7 (In 2010)

   Huff caught &/or broke-off: 21 Plays for +20 Yds

   Huff caught &/or broke-off: 14 Plays for +30 Yds

   Huff caught &/or broke-off: 10 Plays for +40 Yds

   Huff caught &/or broke-off:  6 Plays for +50 Yds

   Included in this last Big-Play grouping,

    Was Huff’s 85-Yd RAC TD, v Arizona

Nevertheless, Oregon’s size & speed

Do not mask the Ducks’ noticeable new numbers on the field

#1 OREGON OFFENSIVE LINE

Theoretically, OREGON will Start 3 ‘New OL’

In reality, Oregon will start 2 of 5 Beginners at OL

Yet, these ‘NEW’ OL’s have benefit of:

1 Full Redshirt Season of Work in Eugene (each)

Each are entering 3RD & 4TH Yr as College Athlete

OREGON’s OL UNIT RATING(s):

#1 PAC-12 by nearly every expert prognosis

#9-13 NAT’L (9. ‘Outsiders’ | 13. Steele)

Oregon’s Ducks Outstanding Seal Blocking Technique

Blasting Lanes that 2-3 carriers could rumble through

ORE OL: Established, exceptionally deep, seasoned Unit;

Oregon starts just 1 Underclassman OL

ORE Soph CENTER 6-2 | 292 Armstrong

Reportedly Armstrong Ducks’ strongest roster player

Oregon Starting Offense = 10 Upperclassmen

Ducks remaining truly new OL Starter,

                                               

ORE JUCO rJr RG 6-4 | 298 Clanton

4TH Year Jr, Redshirt ‘Spread-Ready’ JC Guy

Listed as NEW Starter

ORE OT Sr 6-5 | 298 Weems

Misrepresented as ‘New’ Starter

Weems (5TH Yr Sr, has Started 10 Gms at 2 Positions)

(8 Starts at Current LT Spot - LT, & TWO at RT)

Oregon fortunate to Return TWO Top-Flight OL

ORE LG Jr 6-5 | 296 York

1ST TM all-Conference OL

ORE RT Sr 6-7 | 333 Asper

Giant Tackle, Anchors & Understands The Kelly-Spread

& Ducks’ requisite Seal-Blocking

Asper is versatile; has excelled in both RT & RG Positions

_________________

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 DEFENSE

#11 Oregon | D-Starters Returning (5)

#9  Oregon | ‘D’ Tackles Returning (58%)

OREGON DUCKS | 2011 DEFENSE UNIT RANKS

#5 OREGON DEFENSIVE LINE

THREE of FOUR NEW STARTERS: Avg Size 6-4¼ | 274

Both ORE DT’s: Inexperienced Soph, Also Huge: 6-5¼ | 294

ORE DT 6-4½ | 321 Helmuli

Top-10 NAT’L Rated, D-Tackle

Played Key Min as True-Fr, ORE 2010 Gms

ORE DT Soph 6-6½ | 267 Hart

Limited 2010 ORE Game Minutes

Hart collected 2 Tkls/Games

OREGON’s DEFENSIVE END(s)

Duck Defensive Ends:

   BOTH Experienced 5TH Yr SR’s

   BOTH Fast off the Corner

   ORE Surged to 3.44 Sks/Gm (#1 Conf) PAC-12-Gms-Only

#10 OREGON LINEBACKERS

OREGON Unaccustomed UNDERSIZED LB Corps

Yet, per Chip Kelly M-O, ORE IMPROVED SPEED

LB's are possibly the quickest in the Conference

ORE SLB Sr 6-3 | 235 Kaddu

Who inexplicably was not All-Conference

Yet HAS 32 QUALITY CAREER STARTS

& ONLY Oregon LB that tops 225 LB

Great closing speed (4.47)

Oregon will Start freakishly fast (4.37) TRUE FRESHMAN,

ORE MLB TRUE-Fr 6-0 | 222 Wallace &

ORE WLB Jr 5-10½ | 230 Clay

4TH Yr Jr, Not having Started a Game in Eugene

Yet, as Kaddu, has played in 32 Significant Gms for Oregon

Inexperience & Size Deficiency

Could spell trouble for an Ore Defense

Oregon's Defense Dropped to #5 PAC-12 Last Season

 #1 OREGON SECONDARY

ORE’s #1 Secondary Rating is mitigated

ORE CB Jr 5-11 | 178 Cliff Harris

OUT (Suspended) Gm-1 v #5 LSU in Arlington, TX

Harris: Disruptive irritant, #1 PAC-12 Pass-Defender

2010 Nat'l Leaders | Passes Defended - All Gms

#1 Harris 23

2010 PASSES DEFENDED | GAME

#1 Harris Ore 1.77

2010 PASSES BROKEN-UP

#1 Harris 17

2010 INTERCEPTIONS

#1 Jayron Hosley Jr Virginia Tech  9

#2 Robert Lester Jr Alabama  8

#3 Cliff Harris Jr Oregon

Harris’ will really be missed vs. LSU

OREGON's CORNERS

ORE LCB Sr 6-0 | 183 Gildon

'New Starter', YET, Gildon has NINE ORE Gm Starts

ORE Right Corner is inexperienced 

vs. LSU (in Place of Harris)

ORE R-Fr 5-9 | 179 Mathis

4.33 Speed | Talented

OREGON's ROVER/FREE SAFETIES:

Both Headhunting, Hi-Risk fliers

ORE ROVER Sr 5-10½ | 216 Pleasant

ORE FS Jr 5-10 | 203 Boyett

Safety's & Rover w/Multiple Gm LB Starts

ALL greatly depend on CLIFF HARRIS-Types

(Tarmage Jackson + Harris in 2010)

Lock-Down Corner Last Year, ect

(Ore lost 2 NFL'ers | early departures from 2010 Defense)

ORE SECONDARY DRAMATIC LACK OF SIZE/HT

Leaps off the Page | AVG SIZE: 5-10 | 186

 #2 OREGON DUCKS 2011 SPECIAL TEAMS

ORE is 1 of 3 PAC-12 Returning BOTH

Starting PLACEKICKER

Starting PUNTER

Bring Experienced JUNIOR’s back at each position:

ORE PUNTER Sr 6-4 | 203 Brian Rice

Avg Punter (#6 | PAC-12, 41 YPP)

Yet Rice has had exceptional number INSIDE 20 Yd Line

   RICE: 41 Punts Inside 20 Yd Line

   RICE: 15 Punts Inside 10-Yd Line

   RICE:  6 Punts Inside 5-Yd Line

ORE KICKER Jr 5-8 | 174 Bob Beard

(10-13 FG | Long of 42)

Beard moderate FG Range

Yet, superb, booming Kickoff distance

BEARD: 21 Career Kickoff touchbacks

Long-Snapper 11 of 13 Games, 2010 Returns

ORE LONG-SNAPPER Soph 6-2 | 221 Howell

* AGAIN, OREGON’s #2 Special Teams Rating

As Secondary’s (#1) is TEMPERED

ORE CB Jr 5-11 | 178 Cliff Harris

OUT (Suspended) Gm-1 v #5 LSU in Arlington, TX

Harris: #1 Returning NAT'L Punt Return Man

HARRIS - STATISTICALLY, AS TEAM CATALYST

WAS/IS BIGGEST Field-Position Set-up Man in CFB

2010 PUNT RETURN YD AVG

#1 Harris 18.83 Yd/Ret

2010 PUNT RETURN TD's

#1 NAT'L Harris 4 TD

HARRIS OUT FOR OREGON GM vs. LSU IS 'EQUALIZER'

OREGON's Harris is a REAL Game-Changer

Harris provided Ducks about 20 Yds Per Punt Return

Teams WERE FORCED TO PUNT AROUND HIM

& Over-Compensation for Harris provided Ducks

AT LEAST his 20-25 Yds Per Punt Return Avg

_____________

2010 RECAP

OREGON DUCKS 12-1 | 9-0 Conf (6-7 ATS)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010-2011 BCS RUNNER-UP

(L-19-22 Auburn | Glendale, Arizona)

2-TIME DEFENDING PAC-12 CHAMPIONS

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 SCORING

#1 OREGON | 47.0 PPG (#1 NATIONAL)

DUCKS 47 PPG in 2011 WAS BEST NCAA PPG

   * SINCE 2008 Oklahoma (51.2 PPG)

   * Second-Best in NCAA, Last Decade

#2 OREGON OPPONENT: 18.7 PPG

#3 OREGON CONF OPP: 23.1 PPG

#1 OREGON OV’L PPG MGN: +28.3 PPG

#1 OREGON CONF PPG MGN: +21.7 PPG

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 OFFENSE | PAC-12 Rank*

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#1 OREGON TTL YPG: 531 Yds/Gm (#1 NAT’L)

#1 OREGON TTL YPG CONF Yds/Gm: 513

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 RUSH OFFENSE

#1  Oregon | Rushing: 288 YPG (#4 Nat'l)

#11 Oregon | Fumbles Surrendered: 15 (#108 Nat'l)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 PASS OFFENSE

#4 Oregon | Passing: 243 Yds/Gm (#39 Nat'l)

#2 Oregon | Int Thrown: 9 | 0.692/Gm (#22 Nat'l)

#8 Oregon | Tackles-For-Loss Alwd: 6.0/Gm (#73 Nat'l)

#2 Oregon | Ttl Sacks Alwd: 9 | 0.692/Gm (#9 Nat'l)

OREGON 2010 | OFFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

OREGON #3 3RD DOWN: 45% (#29 NAT'L)

OREGON #7 RED-ZONE: 82.4% (#56 NAT'L)

OREGON #6 TD%: 64.7% (#32 NAT'L)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 DEFENSE RANKS

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#5 OREGON TTL ‘D’ | YDS ALWD: 346 (#34 Nat'l)

#2 OREGON SCORING ‘D’ | PTS ALWD: 18.7 (#12 Nat'l)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 RUSH DEFENSE

#4 Ore | Rushing: 128 YPG Alwd (#27 Nat'l)

#1 Ore | Fumbles Forced/Recov’d: 16 | 1.23/Gm (#7 Nat'l)

#1 Ore | Tckls-For-Loss: 7.4/Gm (#9 Nat'l)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 PASS DEFENSE

#6 Ore | Pass YPG Alwd: 218 Yds/Gm (#50 Nat'l)

#1 Ore | Int Gained: 21 | 1.62/Gm (#6 Nat'l)

#4 Ore | Sacks Obtained 32 | 2.46/Gm (#22 Nat'l)

#1 Ore | Pass-Efficiency 'D' (#6 Nat'l)

OREGON 2010 | DEFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

OREGON #3 3RD-DOWN 'D': 35.1% (#3 NAT'L)

OREGON #2 RED-ZONE 'D': 67.5% (#6 NAT'L)

OREGON #1 TD% ALWD: %42.5 (#7 NAT'L)

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 MISC KEY STATS

#1  OREGON DUCKS | 2010 SPECIAL TEAMS (#3 Nat'l)

#1  Oregon | T-Over Margin: +1.0 (#7 Nat'l)

#11 Oregon | Penalties: 7.2/Gm (#101 Nat'l)

#11 Oregon | Penalties: 61 Yds/Gm (#100 Nat'l)

#6 OREGON 2010 CLOSE GAME RECORD: 1-1

Also worth mentioning w/Oregon:

INJURIES LOST TO INJURY (2010)

#1 OREGON 5-STARTER GAMES LOST TO INJURY (2010)

Ducks 5th 'Least Injured' Team in FBS Football (2010)

PHIL STEELE is quick to point out

These extreme Ratios (Both HIGH & LOW)

UNCANNY tendency to reverse themselves,

Yr-to-Yr, in EXTREME Cases, with:

    Turnover-Margin

    Starter-Injury's Games Lost

    Close Games

Easy example:

Oregon State Injuries last season, swing from

   #1 (2) Starter-Games Lost to Injury | 2009, to

   #114 (55) Starter-Games Lost to Injury | 2010

OREGON SCHEDULE STRENGTH

OREGON 7TH TOUGHEST PAC-12 SCHEDULE (2011)

OREGON 39TH TOUGHEST SCHEDULE NATION (2011)

OREGON moved UP 26-spots (MORE DIFFICULT, w/LSU)

OREGON 10TH TOUGHEST SCHEDULE, PAC-12 (2010)

OREGON Final 2010 Nat'l Ranking

OREGON 65TH Toughest & 10th Toughest | PAC-12

OREGON DUCKS | 2010 ATS TRENDS

2010 OREGON DUCKS:

CONTINUED CONSISTENT, MULTI-DECADE

"FAST START | SLUGGISH FINISH" ATS PATTERN

OREGON STARTED 4-1-1 ATS

OREGON FINISHED 0-1-4* ATS

Ore played w/in 2-Pts of ATS Margin* 4 of Final 5 Gms

Including BCS Title (ORE +1 vs AUB) Lost 19-22

OREGON | 2010 QUALITY WINS | COVER(S):

WEEK 1: NEW MEXICO at OREGON (-35)

Oregon 72, New Mexico 0

Week 1 was an expected, ultimate Duck cakewalk

Yet, Ducks made ultimate splash

DOUBLING-UP New Mexico

In the process, Oregon manhandled Lobos

SO Completely…It was Oregon’s STATEMENT

That Ducks were a LEGIT NAT’L CONTENDER in 2010

ORE OUTGAINED N Mexico by +613 YDS

w/720 Yds, Balanced Offense (370 Rush | 350 Pass)

WEEK 2: OREGON (-11) at TENNESSEE

Oregon 48, Tennessee 13

Ducks spotted Vols 13-3

On sweltering Mid-Sept Night

In front of 102,035 at Neyland Stadium

Before Oregon ‘unleashed fury’ In SEC Country

Ducks’ blitzed Volunteers in 2-blinks,

ORE’s 48-unanswered Pts quickly dispatched shaky Vols’ squad

WEEK 5: STANFORD at OREGON (-6)

Oregon 52, Stanford 31

EASILY biggest, most revealing game of Year for Ducks

Again, Ore Spotted their opponents a multi-score lead

THIS TIME, the deficit came vs.

POTENT, #9 PAC-12 FELLOW UNBEATEN STANFORD

& Ducks found themselves in FAR deeper Hole, 3-21

YET, Oregon Passed an early test,

Came roaring back AT HOME

In thunderous Bautzen Stadium

ORE SCORED PAC-12’s BEST SCORING ‘D’ 49-10

OREGON | SUBSTANDARD:

GMS | 2010 L’s | FAILED COVER(S):

Though Ducks lost at Wazzu, ATS

OREGON (-35) at WAZZU

Ducks were clearly sleepwalking;

'Duck-Lite' Mediocre effort over lowly Cougs, 43-23

Wazzu 2-25 (Three Year Pac-12 Record)

The TRUE Regular Season Scare for OREGON?

WEEK 12: #1 OREGON (-19) at CALIFORNIA

Oregon 15, California 13

Oregon dodged a HUGE Bullet late season in Berkley

Just as Ducks inexplicably sputtered

vs. Auburn’s #1 SEC, RUSH Defense

Ducks nearly stymied by CAL’s #1 PAC-12 ‘D’

& Cal’s #3 PAC-12

Ore sputtered Offensively all Game

Ducks compiled Stop-&-go, 317 Yds vs. Cal

& Ore escaped Berkley

When Cal Bears MISSED a Chip-Shot Cal FG by Cal

_______________________

Oregon State Beavers 2011

RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

OSU BEAVERS | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS

#3 Oregon State | 14 Total Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#7 Oregon State | Total Starters Returning in 2011 (12)

OREGON STATE LETTERMAN STATS

#2  Oregon State | Total Letterman Returning (53)

#11 Oregon State | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (24)

#7  Oregon State | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+29)

#5  Oregon State | Total Letterman Starters Ret (65% | #50 Nat'l)

OREGON STATE 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

#2 Oregon State | 71% Experience Rating

OREGON STATE 2011 OFFENSE

#3 Oregon State | O-Starters Returning (8) Incl QB

#5 Oregon State | O-Yardage Returning (66%)

#2 Oregon State | O-Line Starts Returning (91 Starts)

OREGON STATE OFFENSE UNIT 2011 RANKS

#6 OREGON STATE QUARTERBACK(s)

ORST QB Jr 6-1 | 211 Ryan Katz

(60% | 2400 Yds | 18-11)

#6 PASSER RATING (127)

#4 PASS ATT/Gm (30)

Katz began 2010 Season as entirely untested Yr-1 Starter

w/Beavers Playing #1 most difficult schedule

Katz sincerely exceeded OSU's Lofty Expectations

KATZ vs. highest degree of competition

KATZ was not dynamic

Yet threw ZERO Picks in First-4 Games

   at #2 TCU

   at #2 Boise State

   at #9 Arizona

KATZ' underrated escapability & better-than-ave athleticism

Added new wrinkles to Beaver Offense

2010 Midseason record of Ore St & Ryan Katz'

After backbreaking first 5 games: 3-2

(Combined record of 1st 5 Beaver Opponents: 21-4)

HOWEVER, ORE ST' WR James Rodgers

Lost for season in Boise (Game 3)

Jms Rodgers #1 PAC-12 All-Purp Ydge Plyr '09

Beavers Offense appeared disoriented thereafter

KATZ 11 PICKS is truly misleading

THRU 10 GMS: KATZ HAD 16-5 Ratio

(Threw 6 Int | 2 TD vs. Stanford & Oregon)

As Stated, KATZ can & will take off & run

Ryan Katz rush'g: 234 Yds (78 Carries) in '10

Should add, Oregon St has awfully underrated, solid #2:

ORST QB Soph 6-0 | 200 Cody Vas

Dark horse last Fall to assume ORST QB Starter Status,

Vas pushed presumed Front-runner, Ryan Katz

More than expected, w/quick feet & resourcefulness

ARM STRENGTH is a click or two weaker than Katz (as most would be)

ALSO in Beaver QB Camp,

Highly touted specimen w/Howitzer Arm

ORST QB rFr 6-5½ | 222 Sean Mannion

4TH on ORST QB Depth is ex-NFL QB Neil Lomax' son

ORST QB Soph 6-2 | 173 Jack Lomax

Lomax has admittedly NOT progressed as hoped;

(Lomax rumored to be contemplating Transfer to Fathers' School, FCS Port St)

#9 OREGON STATE RUSHING

Understandably Low-Rating

Loss of Jaquwizz Rodgers to the NFL

Was unusually painful loss for Beaver Program

Especially after Qwiz' brother James Rodgers was granted Medical Redshirt

& another SR Season in Corvallis

Qwiz' departure created a 2011 void RB

Beavers' a year or two away here in recruiting cycle

Need diamond in the rough to emerge from their current group

ORST RB 5-7 | 152 rFr M Marble

Is cut from Beaver-cloth,

Off the Recruiting, watch microscope

YET Marble's resourcefulness in Spring Practices

& Classic, Idyllic Riley characteristic size & fit;

Seemingly undersized RB's

(akin to Ken Simonton/Yev Bernard/Qwiz Rodgers, et al)

Belies Marble's knack for finding/discovering/following OSU-Trap schemes

ORST RB Soph 5-11 | 185 J Stevenson

Listed as Beavers Starting RB, yet coming off a reconstructive Knee Injury

Could still be a solution - & certainly will see heavy Game Minutes

May lack resourcefulness & burst-speed needed in Pro-Set

To become Beavers No. 1 Back for 2011 & beyond

ORST RB Sr 6-1 | 228 R McCants

Listed #2 on Spring Depth,

McCants exceptionally strong back w/exceptional size,

Started 3 Games in 4 Seasons,

McCants couldn't win a spot in ORST Starting Depth Chart

Lacking North-South proficiency

(Partially his Top-Heavy Build)

Not developing explosiveness/instincts to hit brief line creases, ect

To McCants credit, he reported to Camp 17-Lbs Lighter

Abandoning his Power-Physique

Final Year effort to adapt to Beaver RB-Scheme Offense

ORST RB Jr 6-1 | 211 Jenkins

14 Career Carries; tremendous Spring

No career carries among these players    

#6 OREGON STATE RECEIVING (WR | TE)

Rating is MID-TIER; based solely on Jms Rodgers Status in 2010

ORST RETURNS #1, #2 & #3 Receivers from 2010

ORST WR Sr 5-7 | 187 James Rodgers

1ST TEAM, ALL-CONFERENCE '09 & ALL-CONF '08

#1 ALL-PURPOSE YDGE '09

Started All 13 Gms as True Freshman '07

40 Starts for Bandits  

Rodgers was ORST #2 Rusher in 2009

ORST & RODGERS 'FLY-SWEEP' 09 wrinkle(s)

Actual & decoy, began in earnest 08

SIGNIFICANTLY EXPANDED ORST Offense

Worked to effectively Spread ORST Opposing Defenses

& helped to raise ORST's Short-Ydge %'s

Rodgers' shredded Defenses on the 'Edge'

Via High-Speed, Dime-Turns

In the HIGHEST PRECISION, Timing Play imaginable

MOST (if not all) OFFENSIVE PLAYBOOKS

CONTAIN A 'FLY-SWEEP', w/ASTERISK*

* Not Recommended due to high-risk | low-success rate(s)

Thus, "BEAVER-FLY' - provisional, wink & nod, to

'James Rodgers-only IQ & talent' arrangement

Otherwise dubbed by, "Individuals close to ORST Program' as:

     "Great-8"

      "8-by-8"

      "Eighty-Eight" Plays

(i.e., 8 Plays Run restricted/only feasible for #8 Jms Rodgers)

Hard to imagine Fly-Sweep as possibly in 2011

w/Jms Rodgers' reconstructed, reattached ACL & MCL-knee

ORST WR Jr 6-0 | 177 Wheaton

19 Starts for Beavers at 3 Receiver Spots

Wideout | Flanker | Slot

Wheaton #1 ORST Receiver (2010) & #6 in PAC-12

55 Catches | 680 Yds | 4 TD

Wheaton sent on 27 Fly-Sweeps in 2010

(Exactly ½ of Rodgers' 2009 Fly's - 54)

Success was limited to 4.0 Yds/Run

Wheaton improved as year progressed

w/Zero Negative Sweeps in Last 8 Gms

IN ORST GM-12 (vs. SC)

Wheaton broke 3 Fly's for 14, 15 & 19 Yds

ORST WR Jr 6-3 | 201 Bishop

Listed as 'New Starter', yet Bishop started 4 Gms '10

Bishop's numerous 3RD Down Catches,

Bishop has made very most of spot minutes

In Redshirt Fr Yr (08), 1 Catch per 1.3 Plays

Eye-opening 18.8 YPC in 15 Gms, career

ORST TE Sr 6-2 | 255 Halahuni

1ST TEAM ALL-CONFERENCE TE in 2010

Another in long long-line of Productive TE's in Corvallis

HALAHUNI: 30 Catches | 400 YDS | 6 TD'S

& Sensational Tactical TE; renown Down-field Blocker

73.3% Halahuni's Catches were on 3RD DOWN

All but ONE resulted in either 1ST-Down or TD

ORST SLOT-BACK

(Evolving in Riley's Yrs to Receiver Position)

(Slot-Back | Short-Ydg Wedge Blocking-Back/Receiver)

ORST FB Jr 6-0½ | 230 York

ORST FB Soph 5-8½ | 216 Parsons

No Career Carries or Receptions from either Slot-Back

#5 OREGON STATE OFFENSIVE LINE

This is notch or 2 UNDERRATED, upon deeper look

w/Changes to Colo's OL (Buffs Iltis Retirement)

#1 OREGON STATE

O-LINE PAC-12 GAME STARTS RETURNING (91)

BEAVERS #1 OFFENSIVE LINE EXPERIENCE

#1 Validation for Oregon State OVER 6½ WIN's

ORE ST RETURNS 4 of 5 OL STARTERS

w/ALL 5 ORE ST OL's ARE SEASONED PLAYERS

ORST R-GUARD SR 6-4 | 288 Ellis

Ellis: 4.84 Speed

Started Multiple Gms at Left Guard & Center

15 Consecutive Starts w/o Penalty

ORST L-GUARD Soph 6-2 | 280 Andrews

ONLY 'New' Starter for Beavers;

Andrews Started/Played every O-Down, 4 ORST Gm '10

Played +6-Full Gms '10 (Total Gm Plays)

ORST R-TACKLE Jr 6-3 | 312 Phillip

ALL-CONFERENCE at Left Tackle 2010

(Even w/only 9 Gms | Inj)

Phillip was 1ST-TM | NAT'L ALL-FRESHMAN in '09

ORST L-TACKLE SR 6-4¼ | 310 Remmers

ALL-CONFERENCE at Right Tackle in 2010 & 2009

34 CAREER STARTS FOR BEAVERS

ORST CENTER SR 6-3½ | 292 Johnson

27 CAREER GM STARTS

All but Two at Left Guard

Johnson excelled in emergency Start at C late 2010 (v SC)

OL EXPERIENCE/PROFICIENCY MORE CRITICAL FOR

RILEY/LANGSDORF's PRO-SET OFFENSIVE SCHEME

THAN PERHAPS ANY OFFENSE IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

ORST Pro-Set Offense predicated on

Intricate, detailed pulling stunts, traps, chip-assignments, ect

Mixed Blessing; once drilled into place,

Riley's system is very balanced

Difficult to plot against, ball control, momentum-based offense

POSITIVES:

  * Very Low Errors - especially LOW OL Penalties

  * Gm-Plans - can be developed & reversed well in advance

NEGATIVES:

  * If Pro-Set has 1 WEAK ELEMENT

     (i.e., soft-side OL, NEW, RB, lacking Breakaway speed)

     Defenses can Over/Underplay

Hence, the Beavers consistent, Decade-Long pattern

SLOW-STARTS | FAST-FINISHES  

OREGON STATE DEFENSE 2011

#11 Oregon State | D-Starters Returning (5)

#9  Oregon State | 'D' Tackles Returning (58%)

OREGON ST DEFENSE UNIT RANKS 2011

    #7 OREGON STATE DEFENSIVE LINE

This is a little low, considering:

¾ of 2010 Beaver Front-4 was essentially playing out of Position

STILL collected 31 Sacks (3RD PAC-12 | 2.58/Gm)

ALL 2010 Beaver Front-4 Have at LEAST 4 Yrs of CFB

ALL 2010 Beaver Front-4 are Upperclassmen, (2-SR | 2-JR)

ORST 2011 DEFENSIVE ENDS:

Expected to be a weakness in 2010; & IT WAS

Both 2010 DE were out-of-position starters:

Converted TE, Gabe Miller | Natural DT, Kevin Frahm

2011 ORST Starting DE's:

   BOTH Back to Natural DE Position

   BOTH 4TH Year Juniors

   BOTH sprightly, quick 1ST step speed-rush guys

   ORST apt to improve upon 2010 Sack production

ORST 2010 SACKS:

   #3 RATED, PAC-12 (31 Sks | 2.58 Sks/Gm)

ORST DE JUCO Jr 6-3 | 232 Fernando

Fernando was In Corvallis for Spring Practice

Fernando Highly-Touted Speed-Rush End

ORST DE Jr 6-1 | 252 Henry

Henry's listing: 'New Starter'? Simply another labeling foible

Henry Started 4 Gms 2010

Played big portions of 21 ORST Gms

Henry utilized in pressure-rush, 3RD-Med/Long situations

Henry: 3.5 Sacks in four 2010 Starts (nearly 1 Sack/Start)

ORST DT SR JUCO 6-2 | 247 Glover

Glover started 8 Gms 2010,

Rapidly assimilated to DT (from End)

& Collected a superb 7.5 Tkls/Gm

GLOVER ATTENTION-GRABBING SIDE NOTES:

    * GLOVER: Came to ORST (via Saddleback JC)

       Transferred from Rival OREGON DUCKS

       (Glover was in Eugene way back 2007)

    * Glover filled in for Injured 2010 Sr, Oleander

    * Glover played Next to PAC-12 D-POY, Paea L-Yr

    * Familiar Name? Uncle is Leroy Glover (NFL/2-Pro-Bowls)

ORST DT SR 6-2 | 277 Frahm

Also listed as 'NEW' Starter,

AGAIN, labels can be exceedingly misleading

FRAHM is a MULTI-YEAR STARTER (2009 & 2010)

Frahm's previous 11-Starts (at DEFENSIVE END

Admittedly, END is not Frahm's Comfortable position

2010 | RDE DEPTH:

No. 1. Frahm, No. 2. Henry

DE's: DC Banker | DLC’s Seumalo have utilized

Long-standing 'Platoon' Position Scheme,

w/Run-Plug Player vs. Speed-Rusher

THUS, BOTH HENRY & FRAHM LISTED AS 'New-Starters'

When they have 22 Starts Combined

& bring 4½ Avg Yrs of steady big-game min to Beavers DL

    #6 OREGON STATE LINEBACKERS 

Generous Rating

Beavers ostensible lack of size rises up right away here

YET, as we always say w/ORST AT 'LINEBACKER-U'

LINEBACKERS & SECONDARY PLAYER-SIZES

BY DESIGN - ARE EITHER EQUAL or REVERSED

ORST sent 14 DEFENSIVE PLAYERS TO THE NFL:

8 LB's | SUCH AS Nick Barnett,

'Experts' claimed Barnett was 'too-small' to play in PAC-12

ORST SAFETY's w/LB SIZE\HEAD-SPITTING FORCE...

ORST LB's w/BLISTERING SPEED\LATERAL QUICKNESS

NFL LB's

   09: Butler | Norris

   08: LaRocque

   06: Ellison

   04: Edwards | Swancutt (DE's)

   03: Lee (NT) | Nick Barnett

   02: Allen

   01: Grant

ORST NFL SS|CB|FS's:

   09: Keenan Lewis | Hughes | Afalava

   07: Sabby Piscatelli

   03: Weathersby

While were shamelessly naming names:

   Chad Ocho-Cinco

   TJ Houshmandzadeh

   Derek Anderson

   Steven Jackson

All wore 'Bandit-Blacks', also

ORST LB UNIT usually has at least 1 converted Safety

2010 is no different:

 

ORST SS|LB SR 6-2 | 234 Collins

Collins 5TH Yr SR, Converted Strong Safety

Started 14 Games for Beavers

122 Career Tackles & Outstanding Athlete

ORST MID|LB Soph 5-11 | 224 Doctor

3RD Year Soph 'Gray-Shirt' in 09

Highly touted Recruit, Doctor from storied HS Powerhouse

"Booker T" Washington HS in Tulsa, Oklahoma

Doctor designated Run-Stop Specialist

Sensational tactician-tackler (gets amazingly LOW)

3 Tackles a Gm as TRUE Freshman

ORST WS|LB Jr 6-3 | 228 Robinson

surprisingly outplayed Tony Wilson

WON #1 Weak side Linebacker Spot

Robinson is a 'Flier' w/unlimited, double-quick speed

This occasionally got Robinson in trouble

In MIDDLE &/or STRONG Sides (Over-pursuit)

Yet, Robinson's superior closing speed

Seems to be altogether positive, Weak Side

    #7 OREGON STATE SECONDARY

MAYBE a notch underrated

Likely, a Lower HALF Conference Unit Rank based upon

Beavers' #10 of 12 PAC-12 Pass-Efficiency Rating

ORST's NEW 2010 New Starter (Hardin)

Had the HIGHEST LEARNING Curve Possible

In September 2010, beginning with

NFL-Draftee QB Dalton & #2 TCU (Arlington, TX)

& Including QB Moore at #2 Boise State

Not to mention (obviously) PAC-12 QB & Programs

QB's Locker (UW), Luck (STN), Thomas (ORE), Foles (AZ)

ORST Underneath Route Defense

#1 Weakness of ORST Defense in 2010

Beavers' LB Pass Defense Deficiencies (Arguably) Was/Is origin

ORST LOW Pass Defense Efficiency numbers in 2010

i.e., Beavers were DEAD-LAST, PAC-12 in 3RD DOWN Defense

(#109 of 120 FBS Teams)

ORST R-CORNER Jr 5-11 | 186 Poyer

Superb Lock-down, fearless cover guy

Tendency to have issues w/all the 6-4+ PAC-12 Receivers

VERY GOOD Passes Defended numbers

HIGH BREAKUP NUMBERS;

Equally HIGH PENALTY RATE

Poyer TWO Picks in 2010 & 1.52 Pass Brake-ups/Gm

Poyer also inexplicably high, mostly unnecessary PI's (1.44/Gm)

Despite good coverage

ORST L-CORNER SR 6-2 | 223 Hardin

Harden wasn't picked on, w/uncommon size for Corner

As the ONE 2010 New Secondary Man,

YET, Hardin was torched more than any ORST CB

Strangely, Hardin gave up more big plays

Last ½ of ORST's 2010 Season

ORST STRONG SAFETY Jr 6-1 | 220 Watkins

Watkins has paid his dues

Has played awfully solid

& has 20 Gms of extensive action for Beavers

ORST FREE SAFETY SR 6-2 | 207 Mitchell

Beavers' Mitchell led ORST in Tackles,

3 of Beavers First 4 Gms

Lance Mitchell is A BAD-ASS,

DUDE TAKES GUYS HEADS OFF….

Yet also takes many risks,

As Beavers allowed far too many

Late Season Big Plays,

As Opponents began to lure Mitchell into Safety Blitz Reads

& double-up ORST Nickel Coverage

w/ORST's SS on island, vs. Opp Dual 'go' WR's Routes, ect

Perhaps a justifiable criticism of Beaver Secondary

Despite ORST Physical Secondary Presence

& Linebackers in Secondary Player Bodies

ORST's tendency to allow big plays hasn't (yet) been solved

    #1 OREGON ST SPECIAL TEAMS 2011

#1 Rating likely based on Beavers' recent Body of Work

BEAVERS Special Teams:

Average End-of-Season Rating (Last 5 yrs): #4 NAT'L

Yet, This HIGHEST Rating is exceedingly high

Considering ORE & COLO Return Sr K & Sr P

& ORE Returns Nat'l #1 Punt Returners

ORST #1 PAC-12 Special Tms Rating, w/o doubt overstated

#3/4 is probably most accurate

PUNT|PK (Bkup) Sr 6-5 | 231 J Hekker (2ND TM All-Conf | 09)

Blasting away since spring at improving Hang-Time

Hekker gaining NFL-Attn

Hekker also seen hitting 50+ Yd FG's (Spring Workouts)

NEW Highest Recruited K ever to Corvallis is in for Spring,

K St 5-10 | 188 Trevor Romaine

Explosive Leg:

Multiple-50 Yard FG's

92% Touchback Kickoff's in HS

Nevertheless, Romaine's had a forgettable ORST debut

In Beavers 2010 Spring Gm,

Romaine missed ALL-4 of his ATTEMPTS:

From each hashmark; two long & two short

_________________

2010 RECAP

OREGON STATE BEAVERS 5-7 (4-5 Conf | 6-6 ATS)

OREGON STATE 2010 SCORING

#8 Oregon State 24.4 PPG (#82 Nat'l)

#8 Oregon State 23.7 PPG Conference

#8 OREGON STATE OPPONENT: 26.8 PPG (#69 Nat'l)

#6 OREGON STATE CONF GM OPP: 25.2 PPG

#8 OREGON STATE PPG MARGIN: <-2.4> PPG

#7 OREGON STATE CONF GM MGN: <-1.5> PPG

OREGON ST 2010 | OFFENSE | PAC-12 Rank*

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#11 TOTAL YDS / GM: 327 Yds/Gm (#94 Nat'l)

#11 TOTAL YDS / GM: 346 Yds/Gm Conference

OREGON STATE RUSHING OFFENSE 2010

#11 Rush Offense Yds/Gm: 121 Yds/Gm, (#96 Nat'l)

#1  Fumbles Surrendered: 4 | 0.333/Gm (#3 Nat'l)

OREGON STATE PASSING OFFENSE 2010

#9  Pass Offense: 205 Yds/Gm (#71 Nat'l)

#7  Interceptions Thrown: 0.92/Gm (#78 Nat'l)

#10 Tackles For Loss Alwd: 6.6/Gm (#93 Nat'l)

#11 Total Sacks Alwd: 35 | 2.92/Gm (#102 Nat'l)

OREGON STATE 2010 | OFFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#7 OREGON STATE 3RD DOWN: 37% (#87 NAT'L)

#3 OREGON STATE RED-ZONE: 85% (#40 NAT'L)

#3 OREGON STATE TD%: 67.5% (#22 NAT'L)

OREGON STATE 2010 RANK | DEFENSE

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#10 TTL DEFENSE | YDS ALWD: 408 (#86 Nat'l)

#7  TTL DEFENSE | YDS ALWD: 391

OREGON STATE RUSH DEFENSE

#9 Rush Yds Alwd: 180 Yds/Gm (#88 Nat'l)

#8 Fumbles Forced/Recov'd: 10 | 0.833/Gm (#49 Nat'l)

#3 Tackles-For-Loss: 6.8/Gm (#24 Nat'l)

OREGON STATE PASS DEFENSE

#8 Pass Yds Alwd: 228 Yds/Gm (#71 Nat'l)

#7 Interceptions Gained: 1.0/Gm (#52 Nat'l)

#4 Sacks Obtained 31 | 2.58/Gm (#22 Nat'l)

#10 Pass-Efficiency 'Defense' (#88 Nat'l)

OREGON STATE 2010 | DEFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#12 OREGON STATE 3RD-DOWN 'D': 46.6% (#109 NAT'L)

#4  OREGON STATE RED-ZONE 'D': 79% (#37 NAT'L)

#8  OREGON STATE TD% ALWD: 63% (#72 NAT'L)

OREGON STATE 2010 | MISCELLANEOUS KEY STATS

#6 OREGON STATE SPECIAL TEAMS (#38 Nat'l)

#3 Turnover Margin: +0.33 (#35 Nat'l)

#2 Penalties: 5.1/Gm (#60 Nat'l)

#3 Penalties: 56 Yds/Gm (#78 Nat'l)

#5 OREGON STATE 2010 CLOSE GAME RECORD: 2-2

OREGON STATE SCHEDULE STRENGTH

#2 OREGON ST TOUGHEST PAC-12 SCHEDULE (2011)

#4 OREGON ST TOUGHEST SCHEDULE NATION (2011)

3.  OREGON ST SPOTS (Moved 3-Spots Easier)

OREGON STATE TOUGHEST SCHEDULE, PAC-12 (2010)

OREGON ST Final 2010 Nat'l Schedule Ranking

#1 TOUGHEST SCHEDULE - OREGON STATE

#1 OREGON ST Toughest SCHEDULE in PAC-12

______________________

OREGON ST 2010 ATS TRENDS

2010 ATS BEAVERS:

REVERSED THEIR CUSTOMARY SLOW-TO-FAST ATS PATTERN

Beavers excelled ATS, Opened ½ of Season: 5-1-1 ATS, Start

Plummeted down the Stretch: 1-3-1 ATS Close

STARTED: 5-1-1 ATS

MID-SEASON SWOON: 1-4 ATS

FINISHED: 2-1 ATS

ORE ST | 2010 QUALITY W's | COVER(S):

WEEK 5: OREGON STATE (+8) at #9 (4-0) ARIZONA

Oregon State 29, Arizona 27

Beavers' & their Ball Control Gm

Outlasted #9 Cats in Tucson, 29-27

OSU Won Despite:

   ORST Gaining NEG >55 Yds

   ORST Allowing 541 Az TTL Yds

   ORST Allowing AZ QB Foles' Career Night (440 YD |76%)

WEEK 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA at OREGON STATE (+3)

Oregon State 36, Southern California 7

Beavers inexplicably flattened SC in Corvallis - once again

On yet another average, Late-Night, Late-Season Game

In Willamette Valley - Western Oregon

Entirely distasteful of conditions that Trojans & their Fans

MUST be less than amorous, with each passing season:

Nothing special; standard Late Autumn in Western Oregon…

Raw, Mid-30's, Mid-Nov-in-Valley, post-nightfall, Fog-Bowl

Beaver resounding win was also somewhat unanticipated.

ORST Middle Gm, & lone bright spot of ORST 1-4 ATS/1-4 S-U Slide

ORST DEFENSE bulldozed SC

ORST Picked off SC QB Barkley 3x

ORST Sacked Barkley 4x

& ORST allowed just 255 SC TTL Yds in easy 36-7 Win

ORST | SUBSTANDARD GMS 2010 L's | FAILED COVER(S):

WEEK 11: WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON STATE (-24)

Wazzu 31, Oregon State 14

The celebrated "November Beavers" Steamroller failed to arrive.

Oregon State's Loss to Wazzu

Was apex of Beavers absentminded 1-4 slide

In fact, ORST didn't show up whatsoever

Wazzu collected 2ND Conference Win in 3 Seasons (2-25)

& 1ST Road WIN in 4+ Years

Oregon State's unenergized play was unexplainable,

Especially for ORST HC Mile Riley:

   'I Can't identify what or why we are in this funk.

   In all my years as a Coach,

   I've never seen the look in these players' eyes I saw today.

   I wish I could explain it, but I just can't.

   We're determined to fight thru it either way"

Wazzu's 41-Point Cover in Corvallis:

MOST LOPSIDED PAC-12 SPREAD-MARGIN IN 2010

Washington Huskies 2011

 RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

UW DAWGS | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS 2011

#10 Wash | 10 Total Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#4 Wash | 15 Total Starters Returning in 2011

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#8  Wash | Total Letterman Returning (48)

#11 Wash | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (18)

#9  Wash | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+31)

#10 Wash | Total Letterman Starters Ret (52% | #100 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

#12 Washington Huskies | 47% Experience Rating

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 OFFENSE

#8  Wash | O-Starters Returning (7) NEW QB in 2011

#10 Wash | O-Yardage Returning (54%)

#7  Wash | O-Line Starts Returning (65 Starts)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 OFFENSE UNIT RANKS

#12 WASHINGTON QUARTERBACKS

UW QB Soph 6-1 | 187 Price

PRICE wowed Husky Fans in Spring Practice

Sark really seems to like him a great deal

For now, Inexperience & Lack-of-Depth Aside,

KEITH PRICE is UW QB

#4  WASHINGTON RUSHING

ALL-CONF UW Jr RB 5-11 | 221 Polk

Is TIED for #2 Best Returning RB in Conf

POLK 's best number is probably his 5.4 YPG Avg

(More than 1415 TY)

Remarkable Avg Carry, w/260 Carries

#3 WASHINGTON RECEIVING (WR | TE)

UW 1-2 WR Punch is as good as it gets

SR Multi-Year Experience from both:

UW Sr 6-0 Aguilar 6-0 | 192

& THE STAR, 1ST TM-ALL CONF

UW Sr KEARSE 6-2 | 209

These two WR's are far different stylistically,

Kearse has every weapon

Speed/Gm changing Big-Play production:

Almost ½ Kearse's 2010 Catches: 20+ Yds

Aguilar is the Grimy possession guy,

'Just 28 Catches in 2010, 17 were on 3RD-DWN

Q: WHY is UW receiving Corps Rated 3RD?

A: TRUE-FRESHMAN at TE & 3RD WR

#1 Recruit, TE Fr 6-6 | 257 Jenkins (IN FOR SPRING**)

& #5 Nat'l Recruit Fr (BIG) 6-2 | 217 Williams

Highly touted Talent(s)

Will get to cut-their-teeth w/two of the PAC-12 BEST WR's

If they had STRONG QB-Play &/or OL-Power

This Rating would likely be higher

#9 WASHINGTON OFFENSIVE LINE

OL 'Still improving'

Even w/3 of 5 Starters back,

UW undersized (by NEW PAC-12 Standards)

& UW brings back below avg, 53 TTL Gm Starts on OL

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 DEFENSE

#3  Washington | D-Starters Returning (8)

#10 Washington | D-Tackles Returning (57%)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 DEFENSE UNIT RANKS

#6 WASHINGTON DEFENSIVE LINE

STRENGTH OF DAWG 'D'

"ALL-4 DL STARTERS BACK'

Yes - BUT…Not many Gm Starts

& Despite ALL-CONF HM Starters,

BEAST UW Sr 6-3 | 333 TA'AMU &

Speed-Rush UW Sr 6-6 | 247 Thompson

Anchoring this Line

The Middle Two did not produce nearly to expectations / recruitment potential

Soph 6-2 | 290 Potoa'e

UCLA-Transfer, rFr 6-3 | 232 Shirley

NO QUESTION - THIS UNIT IS TALENTED

They under-performed in 2010

Huskies allowed unacceptable 92% Opp Red-Z

#12 WASHINGTON LINEBACKERS

THIS UNIT IS A LG WEAKNESS

UNDERSIZED | VERY GREEN | PROBABLY NOT TO PAC-12 STANDARDS

UW LB 6-1 | 237 DENNISON is very good

The REST of this band is just vacant,

w/two late sign/JUCO's

Acquired to plug-holes

UW Soph 6-0 | 209 Gilliand came thru as surprise in spring

NOW STARTING

This Unit is looking like a significant weakness for UW

#5 WASHINGTON SECONDARY

GOOD EXPERIENCE BACK (3 of 4)

FROM #4 Overall PAC-12 Pass-Efficiency Group

UW is ONLY Lacking in  SIZE - somewhat

(No UW Starting Secondary Players Top 6-0½)

UW Lone-NEW Starter

SS Soph 5-9½ Parker

Does not give UW great coverage for PAC-12's elevated Receiver Corps, i.e.,

PAC-12 STARTING, HIGH-CEILINGED WR'S

   ORE 6-5 Tuinei

   AZ 6-4 Criner & 6-4 Buckner

   WZU 6-4 Karstetter

   SC 6-5 Parter

(UW fortunate to skip UCLA & ASU's bevy of 6-5+ WR|SE's)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2011 SPECIAL TEAMS

#7 Washington 2011 Special Teams Rating

Dawgs Return BOTH Starting Placekicker & Punter

Washington brings experienced SR's back w/each position:

UW PK Sr 5-11½ | 199 Erik Polk (31-41 FG | Long 54)

Polk was very accurate in 2010 (90% | 18-20)

Polk has made a 54 Yd FG in 09, and hasn't missed a XP (68-68)

Should have been a Groza Finalist

UW PUNT Sr 5-11¼ | 197 Will Mahan (INJ LAST YR)

Back for SR Year, Mahan Overall 40.6 Avg wasn't spectacular

YET AMAZING 24 CAREER INSIDE-20 Punts

(11 Inside 10 YL  | 6 PUNTS INSIDE 5 YL)

_____

2010 RECAP

WASHINGTON HUSKIES 7-6 (2-7 Conf | 4-8 ATS)

UW DAWGS | 2011 SCORING

#10 WASHINGTON 21.8 PPG (#96 Nat'l)

#9 WASHINGTON 20.6 PPG Conf

#9  WASHINGTON OPPONENT: 29.3 PPG (#79 Nat'l)

#10 WASHINGTON CONF GM OPP: 30.6 PPG

#10 WASHINGTON PPG MARGIN: <-7.5> PPG

#10 WASHINGTON CONF GM MGN: <-10.0> PPG

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 OFFENSE

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#7 WASH TTL YDS / GM: 363 Yds/Gm (#76 Nat'l)

#7 WASH TTL CONF YDS / GM:  363 Yds/Gm

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 RUSH OFFENSE

#5 Washington Rushing: 172 Yds/Gm: 172 (#38 Nat'l)

#4 Washington Fumbles Surrendered: 8 (#25 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 PASS OFFENSE

#9 Washington Passing: 190 Yds/Gm (#83 Nat'l)

#2 Washington Int Thrown: 0.69/Gm (#24 Nat'l)

#4 Washington Tackles For Loss Alwd: 5.2/Gm (#32 Nat'l)

#7 Washington Ttl Sacks Alwd: 24 | 1.85/Gm (#58 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 DEFENSE RANK

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#7 WASH TTL 'D' | YDS ALWD: 385 Yds/Gm (#70 Nat'l)

#8 WASH TTL CONF YDS ALWD: 393 Yds/Gm

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 RUSH DEFENSE

#10 Wash | Rush Yds Alwd: 190 Yds/Gm (#97 Nat'l)

#11 Wash | Fumbles Forced/Recov'd: 7 | 0.54/Gm (#100 Nat'l)

#4  Wash | Tackles-For-Loss: 6.4/Gm (#37 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 PASS DEFENSE

#2 Wash | Pass Yds Alwd: 194 Yds/Gm (#27 Nat'l)

#5 Wash | Int Gained: 12 | 0.92/Gm (#58 Nat'l)

#8 Wash | Sacks Obtained 28 | 2.15/Gm (#45 Nat'l)

#5 Wash | Pass-Efficiency 'Defense' (#46 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010  MISC KEY STATS

#12 Washington 2010 SPECIAL TEAMS (#101 Nat'l)

#6  Washington T-Over Margin:  +0.15 (#47 Nat'l)

#5  Washington Penalties: 6.4/Gm (#61 Nat'l)

#2  Washington Penalties: 51 Yds/Gm (#58 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 ATS TRENDS

2010 UW DAWGS:

Sluggish Start.....Season-Saving, Photo-Finish

WASHINGTON STARTED 2-5-1 ATS

WASHINGTON CLOSED 3-0 ATS & 4-0 S-U

Dawgs Salvaged 1ST Winning Season in 7 Years

WASHINGTON HUSKIES | 2010 QUALITY W's | COVER(S):

WEEK 4:

WASHINGTON (+10) at #18 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

WASHINGTON 32, SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 31

Dawgs again took down SC as a Double-Digit Dog,

This time in The Coliseum

We still may diminish this Husky Win a click or 2

UW HC Sark & Ast Holt

Just 26 Mo removed from 7 Yrs stint at So Cal

Knowing Pete Carroll's System (& 1ST Yr HC Kiffin)

Like the back of their hand -

Well, it probably didn't hurt UW's Gm Plan(s)

HOLIDAY BOWL:

WASHINGTON (+14) vs NEBRASKA

HUSKIES 19, HUSKERS 7

Still have a difficult time w/this outcome

After WEEK 3 when NEB hammered UW in Seattle, 56-21

Washington exceeded every 2010 Defensive Performances

UW Held NU's Power-Rush Attack to 91 Yds Rushing,

After largely failing to stop PAC-12 Rushing

UW #97 Nat'l Rush Defense (#10 PAC-12) 190 Yd/Gm Avg

WASHINGTON | 2010 SUBSTANDARD L's | FAILED COVER(S):

WEEK 5:

WASHINGTON (+6) at #15 ARIZONA

WASHINGTON 14, ARIZONA 44

Cats dominated Gm in every aspect

Outgained UW by +177 Yds

Washington was fortunate to escape Tucson

ONLY losing by 30-Point Loss

WEEK 8:

#13 STANFORD at WASHINGTON

STANFORD 41, WASHINGTON 0

WASHINGTON PRODUCED 107 TTL YDS at HOME vs STANFORD

STANFORD CALLED OFF THE HORSES EARLY 3RD-Q

Still finished w/271 Pass Yds & 200 Rush Yd

Sark has folks in Seattle washing down Husky Dogs

w/Pitchers of "The Kool-Aid"

A considerably hard analysis Washington Husky Football:

UW's 2009-2010 resume is deceptive & just plain vacant

UW'S 2010 PAC-12 WINS:

1-Pt Win at Southern California

As we said, UW Staff may knows SC Personnel

As well as Trojans know themselves

1-Pt OT Win vs Oregon State

UW escaped Beavs' 2-Pt Conv drop

(Play occurred 14½ FT  from yours' truly - DIRECTLY in front of me) 

To their credit, UW rebounded after Week 11

UW dropped to 3-6 Overall (2-4 Conf) following 53-16 Loss at Ore

Then Washington WON 3x to climb to 6-6 & become bowl eligible

THOSE 3x UW W's vs COMBINED TM w/CONF REC: 6-21

Dawgs upset ORE ST & SC by 1-pt Each

Then Beat:

   2-7 Conf Injury Riddled UCLA Team

   3-6 Conf NEW-QB Cal Team (16-13)

   1-8 Conf Cougs in Apple Cup , 35-28

WASH STILL WON THE GMS - PERIOD

Winning 4x to End a Yr (3-0 ATS)

Worth some credit on its own

Yet I still maintain that a few 1/2/3 Point Wins

Over Familiar SC-Team (that aint what it used to be)

Cal Twice | Wazzu Twice, UCLA, AZ Ore St

The 2-Year 9-9 Washington Conference Record

Doesn't indicate UW is all that far removed

From 0-12 Husky Team of 2008

THE HOLIDAY BOWL WIN OVER NEBRASKA?

We probably should REALLY put STOCK IN THIS

Hard to discount it as aberration, also

With the dominance that Washington displayed here

#2 WASH 2010 CLOSE GAME RECORD: 2-0

WASH 4TH TOUGHEST PAC-12 SCHEDULE (2011)

WASH 8TH TOUGHEST SCHEDULE NATION (2011)

UW moved down 4-spots

WASH 3RD TOUGHEST SCHEDULE, PAC-12 (2010)

UW Final 2010 Nat'l Ranking:

4th Toughest & 3rd Toughest in PAC-12

______________________________

Wazzu Cougars 2011

 RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

WAZZU COUGS | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS

#9 Wazzu | 11 Ttl Seniors on 44-Deep Roster

#8 Wazzu | 11 Ttl Starters Returning in 2011 (11)

WASHINGTON STATE | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#10 Wazzu | Total Letterman Returning (47)

#5 Wazzu | Total Letterman Lost 2010 (21)

#6 Wazzu | Total Letterman NET RETURNING (+26)

#4 Wazzu | Total Letterman Starters Ret (67% | #38 Nat'l)

WAZZU COUGARS | 2011 "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / No Starts)

#9 Wazzu | 55% Experience Rating

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2011 OFFENSE

#7 Wazzu | O-Starters Returning (7*) Incl QB

#4 Wazzu | O-Yardage Returning (78%)

#6 Wazzu | O-Line Starts Returning (71 Starts)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2011 OFFENSE UNIT RANKS

#7 WAZZU QUARTERBACK(s)

WZU QB Jr 6-3 | 216 Tuel

TUEL's numbers widely touted By P Steele & others as

'POTENTIALLY ONE OF THE MOST UNDERRATED QB's IN NCAA'

Steele goes so far to Compare Tuel's Soph 2010 Yr

To Leaf/Bledsoe, ect

All I can say is WZU 1-8 PAC-12;

75% or more of Tuel's Stats were largely garbage play numbers,

In lopsided Cougar Losses.

Tuel has a Nice Arm - & #1 & #2 WR's BACK

Therefore - I am anxious to see what Tuel can do w/added expectations

We might be wise to hold off on bankrolling ourselves from the books

Based upon WZU Passing Excellence - yet

#12 WAZZU RUSHING

WZU RB rFr 5-8 | 157 Galvin

Cougs have undersized, injury-prone

Penciled in at Tailback,

(Coming off Medical Red-Shirt Year)

#11 WAZZU RECEIVING (WR | TE)

Two Explosive, BIG TARGETS at WR

WZU Sr 6-3 | 211 KARSTETTER

Physical Possession guy

WZU WR Soph 6-4 | 171 WILSON

Wiry speed-demon,

WILSON ALL-FRESHMAN TEAM L-Y

#3 NAT'L BIG-PLAY% MAN

Wilson broke an astronomical 48 of 55 Catches for +20 Yds

Wilson broke MORE THAN ½ of his 55 Catches for 30+ Yds (32)

#11 WAZZU OFFENSIVE LINE

Only AZ's 1 Gm Start-Unit

Ranks Lower than Cougs

Wazzu's OL has shuffled & re-shuffled

4 JUCO's around more times than any team we may see

WZU OL ALWD FBS-WORST 4.25 SCKS/GM in 2010

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2011 DEFENSE

#9 Wazzu | D-Starters Returning (6)

#1 Wazzu | D-Tackles Returning (80%)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2011 DEFENSE UNIT RANKS

#12 WAZZU DEFENSIVE LINE

ALL UPPERCLASSMEN

Unit was part of a consistently abysmal DEFENSE:

WAZZU DEFENSE | LAST in PAC-12:

TOTAL DEFENSE (467 YPG Awl)

TOTAL PPG ALWD (35.8 PPG Alwd)

#4  WAZZU LINEBACKERS

Rating seems elevated

#6  WAZZU SECONDARY

ALL 4-STARTERS BACK

Unit Improved w/Season

Alwd Fewer Yds in Conf 236 PYA (than OOC | 245)

Wazzu Forced 11 Fumbles in 2010 (#29 Nat'l)

WAZZU COUGARS | 2011 MISC STATS

#10 WAZZU 2011 SPECIAL TEAMS RANKING

Wazzu does not return either Starting Placekicker or Punter

Cougs 2011 Kicker. Soph Furney Hit Long (51) FG

Mop-up Duty Last Year, yet he struggles w/accuracy

(0-3 Spring & 3-5 in 2010)

Wzu Ex-Walk-On QB | Sr Punter, Wagner

Should drop Cougs superb punting numbers

More than a small amount

2010 RECAP

WAZZU COUGARS 2-10 (1-8 Conf | 7-4 ARTS)

WAZZU COUGS | 2010 SCORING

#12 WAZZU 19.6 PPG (#106 Nat'l)

#11 WAZZU 19.3 CONF PPG

#12 WAZZU OPPONENT:  35.8 PPG (#110 Nat'l)

#12 WAZZU CONF OPP: 34.2 PPG

#12 WAZZU PPG MARGIN: <-16.2> PPG

#11 WAZZU PPG CONF MGN: <-15> PPG

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 OFFENSE

(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#10 WAZZU TTL YDS / GM: 330 Yds (#92 Nat'l)

#10 WAZZU TTL CONF YDS / GM 330 Yds/Gm

WASHINGTON ST COUGARS | 2010 RUSH OFFENSE

#12 Wash | Rushing: 91 Yds/Gm (#117 Nat'l)

#9  Wash | Fumbles Surrendered: 11 (#79 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 PASS OFFENSE

#6  Wazzu | Passing: 240 Yds/Gm (#41 Nat'l)

#7  Wazzu | Int Thrown: 1/Gm (#51 Nat'l)

#12 Wazzu | Tackles For Loss Alwd: 9/Gm (#120 Nat'l)

#12 Wazzu | Ttl Sacks Alwd: 51 | 4.25/Gm (#119 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 DEFENSE RANK

(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#12 WAZZU TTL 'D' | YDS ALWD: 467 (#118 Nat'l)

#12 WAZZU CONF TTL 'D' | YDS ALWD: 470

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 RUSH DEFENSE

#12 Wazzu | Rush Yds Alwd: 222 Yds/Gm (#115 Nat'l)

#3  Wazzu | Fumbles Forced/Recov'd: 11 | 0.917/Gm (#29 Nat'l)

#9  Wazzu | Tackles-For-Loss: 5.8/Gm (#63 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 PASS DEFENSE

#10 Wazzu | Pass Yds Alwd: 245 Yds/Gm (#101 Nat'l)

#7 Wazzu | Int Gained: 11 | 0.92/Gm (#60 Nat'l)

#12 Wazzu | Sacks Obtained 22 | 1.83/Gm (#77 Nat'l)

#11 Wazzu | Pass-Efficiency 'Defense' (#105 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 MISC KEY STATS

#9 WAZZU COUGARS | 2010 SPECIAL TEAMS (#51 Nat'l)

#8 WAZZU | T-Over Margin: <-0.08> (#63 Nat'l)

#4 WAZZU | Penalties: 6.3/Gm (#75 Nat'l)

#7 WAZZU | Penalties: 60 Yds/Gm (#93 Nat'l)

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS | 2010 ATS TRENDS

WAZZU COUGS 2010:  7-4 ATS

Obviously, Washington State

Has altogether been awful last 3 Seasons

WAZZU | 3 YEARS (2008 / 2009 / 2010)

Wzu Overall W/O FCS Opp's: 3-30 (.100) Wzu 5-32 (.135)

LAST 3 PAC-12 SEASONS CONF GMS: WZU 2-25 Straight Up

Wzu Conf: 2-25 since start of 2008 Season

Cougs have been poor ATS, Conf since End of HC Price Era (02)

Wazzu entered 2010 Season 42.7% ATS in PAC-12 Gms (35-47)

In 2010, Cougs were 6-3 ATS in Conference

Wzu finally reversed 6-Yr String of .500 or Lower PAC-12 ATS

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS

2010 QUALITY W's | COVER(S):

WEEK 11: WASHINGTON STATE (+24) at OREGON STATE

Cougars 31, Beavers 14

+24 Point Dog Wazzu Cougs dominated Oregon State, 31-14

Cougs led wire-to-wire

On a soggy, raw Nov afternoon in Corvallis

Thus, Cougs BLASTED spread

By 2010 PAC-12 High, 41-Pt Margin

Wazzu's Win Over Oregon State was an anomaly

Only Cougar Conference Win in 2 Seasons

Cougs 1st Conf Win since '08 Apple Cup Win

IN ALL 7 of WAZZU's COVERS,

COUGS COVERED SPREAD BY MORE THAN a TD MARGIN

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS

2010 SUBSTANDARD L's | FAILED COVER(S):

WEEK 1:

WASHINGTON STATE (+17) at OKLAHOMA STATE

Oklahoma State pulverized The Cougars, 65-17

Cougs were a fashionable Week 1 Pick

To Cover this big number in Stillwater

Gm 1 of Cougars 2010 Season

Set tone for another dismal Cougar Year

Cowboys romped for +300 Rush | +250 Pass Yds (+220 Yd Diff)

Wazzu's 48-Pt drubbing

Provided all the proof CFB World would need

Wzu would stay entirely mired

In PAC-12 mediocrity for the near future

W-O-W