Monday, August 8, 2011

UTAH UTES DEBUT IN THE CONFERENCE OF CHAMPIONS





Utah Utes 2011
RETURNING | ROSTER ANALYSIS

UTAH UTES | 2-DEEP / SENIOR STATS

#6 Utah | 12 Ttl Sr's | 44-Plyr Depth (½ UU 2-Deep are Jr's)
#9 Utah | Total Starters Returning 2011 (12)

UTAH UTES | 2011 LETTERMAN STATS

#4  Utah | Ttl Letterman Returning (52)
#12 Utah | Ttl Letterman Lost 2010 (26)
#5  Utah | Ttl Letterman NET RETURNING (+26)
#8  Utah | Ttl Letterman Starters Ret (56% | #88 Nat'l)

UTAH UTES 2011 | OVERALL "EXPERIENCE" RATING:

(Factoring Class | Year % / Number of Career Starts)
#5 Utah Utes | 62% Experience Rating

UTAH UTES | 2011 OFFENSE

#8 Utah | O-Starters Returning (7*) Incl QB (Jr Winn)
#11 Utah | O-Ydge Returning (49%)
#8 Utah | O-Line Starts Returning (63 Starts)

UTAH UTES | 2011 OFFENSE UNIT RANKS

#8 UTAH QUARTERBACK(s)

UU QB 6-1 | 198 Jr Wynn
15 Quality Gm Starts

Constant, numbers, even if they don't explode off page
Completed 60% of his passes
25-14 TD\INT Career Ratio

WYNN: Underrated, yet indistinguishable QB stats
Wynn STILL perceived to possess 'Weaker Arm'
WYNN's 4-Game Season-Ending Slump
Must contribute to these opinion(s)

#10 UTAH RUSHING

We MUST Question this Rating

UU unmistakably INEXPERIENCED BACKFIELD

DEPTH CHART
RB: 1. TRUE Fr 6-1 | 225 Langi  | 2. JUCO White
(BOTH "In for Spring") Langi HIGHLY touted
FLBK: 1. rFr 6-4 | 263 M'phy | Soph 6'| 237 Wl'ms

#12 UTAH RECEIVING

Dead-Last…?
REALLY must question this rating
All 3 UU Upperclassmen Starters Back
(2 WR | TE) Including

UU WR Jr 6-1 | 196 Christopher
21 Solid Ttl Starts & 2ND Tm All-Conf WR

UU WR Jr 6-1 | 208 Matthews
Played in 23 Gms | 13 Quality Starts
Even if not huge number of catches

#7 UTAH OFFENSIVE LINE

This ALSO Appears LOW
UU again fields an ALL-300 Lb OL,
w/3 Returning Upper-class Starters
UU Career OL Starts: 65 (#8 PAC-12)
UU BALANCED OFFENSE (Factoring all Tms 2010 Stats)
Passing 61% of Offensive Plays
Though UU's Offense is Stylistically Arranged to elicit 'Balance'
UU O-LINE ALLOWED OPP TO GET TO WYNN Less than 1x/Gm
#3 UU Sacks Allowed: 11 TTL (#11 Nat'l | 0.85/Gm)

UTAH UTES | 2011 DEFENSE

#11 Utah | D-Starters Returning (5)
#7 Utah | D-Tackles Returning (61%)

UTAH UTES | 2011 DEFENSE UNIT RANKS

Utes Play a Hybrid '4-2-5' Defense
Popularized by TCU, among others
(Yet Frogs now usually Line-Up 3-4-5)

UTAH's DEFENSIVE SCHEME
"Around-the-clock, continuous NICKEL'
w/2 Cornerbacks | 2 Safety's & 1 FULL-TIME Rover
& JUST 2 LB's

#7 UTAH DEFENSIVE LINE

MUST CONTINUE TO QUESTION THESE UU RATINGS
UU DL: ¾ Upperclassmen, 2 of 4 JUCO's
UU D-Line IS ENORMOUS, w/ENVIABLE DEPTH
(Multi-Gm Starter Back-Ups)
UU would have been #1 Rush-D (2010 PAC-10)

Looking at UTAH's Defense
Not only UU's substantial SIZE jumps out
But THE TRUE TEXTURE of a Well-Built,
Strong Program comes thru

EVEN if UU isn't going to have a TOP-20 Defense
UU'S DEPTH is superb
D-LINE 2-DEEP: 6 of 8 UPPERCLASSMEN

I. UPPERCLASSMEN PREVALENCE (Including Transfers)

DE Sr 6-5 | 294 Finau (JUCO Transfer - Via WVU)
DE Jr 6-3 | 246 Rolf (Transfer - Via Mich St

(Several Upperclassmen Former Utah Starters)

II. At Least 2 FORMER STARTERS Demoted to 2|3's

DE Sr Talamaivao (6 Career Starts)
DT Jr Dave Kruger (16 Career Starts)

III. UTAH SIZE

Said it before, yet when UU came to Corvallis in 2007
OSU Won 24-7,
Yet we were awestruck w/UU's Sheer Size/Strength
UU BOTH SIDES of Ball
('07 UU 're-tool yr, before UU 13-0 Season of 08)

UTAH D-LINE's substantial brawn is hard to miss
AVG: 6-5 | 291

Utah's Returning Sr Starters: 34 Career Game Starts
UU D-END Sr 6-3½ | 269 Shelby (27 Career Starts)
UU D-TKL Sr 6-4 | 298 Aiono (JUCO)

UU'S New DL STARTERS are Inexperienced, Yet
Essentially outmaneuvered/beat-out players
w/far more gm appearances

UU NOSETKL Jr 6-5 | 318 Lotulelei (JUCO)
Beat out Former Starter
UU Soph 6-1 | 308 Tuipulotu

UU D-END Soph 6-7¼ | 277 Joe Kruger
(Burned Freshman  Year '10)

UU's Kruger Brothers
Reportedly set numerous new UU Weight Lifting Records
THIS IS REALLY saying something in SLC

All-in-all, UU New DL Starters
Nosetackle Lotulelei & Left Defensive End, Joe Kruger
w/1 TTL GM START Combined
Is a Unit Opposing we may want to isolate early
Might pay to be suspicious
Of UU's #11 Nat'l Rush-D (112 YPG Alwd in 2010 )

#4 UTAH LINEBACKERS

Utes compensate for their massive DL
w/ just 2 swift, on the move LB's
AVG SIZE: 'Just' 6-1 | 219
AVG SPEED?  4.51
Not an everyday LB DUO

UU RETURNING 2 of 2 LB STARTERS:

UU LB Soph 6-2 | 222 Belchen
Started all 13 Gms in 2010,
Belchen named to All-Conf (MWC) as Freshman

UU LB SR 6-0 | 216 Chaz Walker
Ideal example of just how complex & distinct
UU's 4-2-5 Defense is

LINEBACKER, WALKER Smaller
Than ½ of Utes Opposing PAC-12 SAFETY's
YET WALKER typifies UU distinctive/unique use of LB position
Walker is Svelte, Fast-as-Lightning, all over the field

Hard-Hitting LB Walker (2ND TM All-Conf / MWC)
Walker is #19 Returning Tackler in NATION (113)

Walker & Belchen: UU's #1 & #3 Tacklers (2010)

UTAH "ROVER"

Always lumped into Secondary,
ROVER generally implies LINEBACKER Size,
Run-Stopping, 'Underneath Pass-Coverage' Assignments
& repeatedly called upon to 'SPY'
Opposing QB's & Game-Breaker's

UU ROVER Sr 6-0 | 227 Martinez
UTAH's #2 Tackler in 2010

MARTINEZ #1 Ret Solo Tackler (37) & superb run-stopper
Martinez another ALL-CONF Player
(3RD TM, All Conf | MWC)

#6 UTAH SECONDARY

This appears to be possibly overrated Unit
Corners are Upperclassmen Starters,
Yet, all 4 Secondary Players: 'NEW' Starters

UTAH PASS-DEFENSE  Mystifying blend:
All-New. yet crazy-good/highly-touted & regarded recruits

UU CB Jr 5-10 | 186 Lacy
Likely Fastest Man in PAC-12 (4.27 Speed)
Recovering from Strange abdominal Inj
(Yet Played all 13 Gms as rFr '09)

Noteworthy New Secondary Starter,

UU SS 6-3 |205 McGill (JUCO | In for Fall)
Very highly coveted & heavy-handed Safety
Gives Utes desperately needed elevation
Needed to Cover "6-5"+ WR's in PAC-12

New CB's/Safety's have World-Class Speed
Yet untested, converted Offensive Players

FREE SAFETY is a legitimate UTAH question

UU FS rFr 6-0 | 201 Damian Payne
In system last yr as RS, yet to play a down
REAL UU Questionable spot

Utes #2 FS 6-2 | 220 G Bird
Expected to challenge for Starter Spot
(Started TWICE in 08
Spelled Rover, FS/SS Positions Last Yr
Notable success (20 Tackles in spot minutes)

BIRD injured early spring, rehabbing
Expected to Back-up Payne

#3 UTAH UTES | 2011 SPECIAL TEAMS

UU 'New' Starting Kicker is misleading
Utah K Chris Peterson returns to Utes
After 2 Yr Missionary

UU PK consistent 14-19 (50 Long) Career
Thus, Return BOTH Starting PK & P
UU P Jr Sean Sellwood slumped in 2010 (37 Yd Avg)
Yet Career is very good 43 YPP

UTAH 2011 SCHEDULE STRENGTH

UTAH 7TH TOUGHEST PAC-12 SCHEDULE (2011)
UTAH 33RD TOUGHEST SCHEDULE NAT'L (2011)
UTAH MOVED UP 51-spots (Harder this Yr)
UTAH FINAL 2010 SCHEDULE STRENGTH:
UTAH 12TH TOUGHEST PAC-12 (2010)
UTAH 84TH TOUGHEST NAT'L (2010)

UTAH INTO THE PAC

Even w/PAC-12 Entry Season
Utes schedule Ranked #88 among 120 FBS Teams in 2011
After FCS Opener vs. Montana State,
Utes jump in w/exceedingly difficult
Week 2 & Week 3 BTB-Roadies:

Utah fittingly opens Official PAC-12 existence in idyllic setting:
Sep 10 in THE sanctuary of PAC-12 Football:
Los Angeles Coliseum vs. Southern California Trojans.

UU must immediately follow this
w/outlandishly early scheduled Gm
at Arch Rival Brigham Young in Provo on Sept 17
Cougs & Utes parting Conference ways from MWC
Forced Rivalry to an otherwise illogical date.

3 of next 4 UU Games are in SLC,
w/the lone Oct 15 Roadie at Pitt looming ominous.
Utah has favorable Odd-Year 5 HM | 4 RD Benefit
To start Conf Play

& UU catches perhaps BIGGEST BREAK of any PAC-12 Tm
UTAH SKIPS BOTH OREGON & STANFORD
Whew, Nice Break, Ute
______________
2010 RECAP | *Utah Final Year in Mountain West Conf
UTAH UTES 10-3 (7-1 Conf* | 8-5 ATS)

UTAH UTES | 2010 SCORING

#3 UTAH 33.1 PPG (#23 Nat'l)
#3 UTAH 33.1 PPG Conferences

#3 UTAH OPPONENT: 20.3 PPG (#24 Nat'l)
#2 UTAH CONF OPP: 20.3 PPG

#3 UTAH PPG MARGIN: +12.8 PPG (#16 Nat'l)
#3 UTAH CONF GM MGN: -12.8 PPG

UTAH UTES | 2010 OFFENSE | PAC-12 Rank*
(All *12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#6 UTAH TTL OFFENSE: 389 YPG (#52 Nat'l)
#6 UTAH CONF OFFENSE: 389 YPG

UTAH UTES | 2010 RUSH OFFENSE

#6 Utah Rushing: 153 YPG (#62 Nat'l)
#10 Utah Fumbles Surrendered: 14 (#103 Nat'l)

UTAH PASSING OFFENSE 2010

#7 Utah Passing: 236 YPG (#47 Nat'l)
#9 Utah Int Thrown: 0.92/Gm (#53 Nat'l)
#1 Utah Tkls For Loss Alwd: 3.5/Gm (#4 Nat'l)
#3 Utah Ttl Sacks Alwd: 27 | 0.85/Gm (#11 Nat'l)

UTAH 2010 | OFFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#5 UTAH 3-DOWN: 42.3% (#45 NAT'L)
#5 UTAH RED-Z: 83.7% (#49 NAT'L)
#4 UTAH TD%: 67.4% (#24 NAT'L)

UTAH UTES  | 2010 DEFENSE | PAC-12 RANK*
(All 12 Teams in Conference Regrouped)

#3 UTAH TTL 'D' | YPG ALWD: 337 (#27 Nat'l)
#3 UTAH SCORING 'D' | YPG ALWD: (#24 Nat'l)

UTAH UTES | 2010 RUSH DEFENSE

#1 Utah Rush YPG Alwd: 112 YPG (#11 Nat'l)
#5 Utah Fumbles Forced/Recov'd: 11 | 0.85/Gm (#32 Nat'l)
#8 Utah Tackles-For-Loss: 5.9/Gm (#56 Nat'l)

UTAH UTES | 2010 PASS DEFENSE

#7 Utah Pass YPG Alwd: 225 YPG (#73 Nat'l)
#6 Utah Int Gained: 0.58/Gm (#59 Nat'l)
#6 Utah Sacks Obtained 29 | 2.23/Gm (#37 Nat'l)
#9 Utah Pass-Efficiency 'D' (#86 Nat'l)

UTAH 2010 | DEFENSIVE CONVERSION STATS

#4 UTAH 3-DOWN 'D': 36.3% (#26 NAT'L)
#7 UTAH RED-Z 'D': 83.3% (#69 NAT'L)
#2 UTAH TD% ALWD: 44.4% (#19 NAT'L)

UTAH UTES | 2010 MISC KEY STATS

#2 UTAH UTES 2010 SPECIAL TEAMS (#5 Nat'l)

#8 Utah | T-Over Margin: <-0.08> (#62 Nat'l)
#2 Utah | Penalties: 5.8/Gm (#55 Nat'l)
#2 Utah | Penalties: 51 YPG (#58 Nat'l)

UTAH UTES | 2010 ATS TRENDS

2010 UTAH UTES: BLISTERING Start ..... Dismal Finish

UTAH UTES STARTED 6-0-1 ATS RECORD

UTAH UTES FINISHED 0-3 ATS
UTAH UTES FINISHED 1-5 ATS

UTAH 2010 QUALITY WINS | COVER(S):

WEEK 5: UTAH (-6) at IOWA STATE
Utah 68, Iowa State 27

Utes hammered BIG-XII Cyclones in Ames
A quick check at Iowa State Resume'
& we cannot really discount UU's 41-Pt Win
As same 'ol ISU' in 2010
Iowa State was fresh off WINNING Season (7-6)
Included a Bowl Win (14-13 Over Minnesota)
ISU was 3-5 last year in BIG-XII
Utes were a steamroller, WEEK 2 THRU 7

WEEK 1 THRU 7: Utes ROLLED to Unbeaten 8-0 Record
ALSO RIPPED OFF 6-0-1 ATS
WEEK 7: COLORADO STATE at UTAH (-30)
UTAH 59, COLORADO STATE 6

UU Peaked w/53-Point Home Win Over Colorado State
UTES OUTGAINED RAMS BY STAGGERING +438 YDS!

2010 Week 3 thru 7, UU outgained opp's by:
   +200 Yds
   +255 Yds
   +245 Yds
   +248 Yds
   +435 Yds

Utes Rolled thru 2/3'rds of 2010 Season Unbeaten
UU also pounded thru first 7 Games w/o Losing ATS

UTAH SUBSTANDARD GMS 2010 L's | FAILED COVER(S):

WEEK 9: TEXAS CHRISTIAN (-5) at UTAH
TCU 47, Utah 7

Utes Hosted MWC Unbeaten Showdown of the Yr
TCU at UTAH in 'SLC'

As we know, TCU thrashed Utah 47-7
& UU never fully recovered

Utes mailed in 3-28 L in South Bend following Wk
Roared back to salvage a 38-34 Win at SDSU
Closed Regular Season w/1-Pt Home Win over Rival BYU
Boise worked UU 26-3 in Vegas Bowl

UU CLEARLY COVERED' JUST 1 of FINAL 6 PT SPREADS
Lone Cover was UU's Wk 12 Comeback Road 'W'
at Lame-Duck SDSU Aztecs






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