MUST KEEP FIRING | SUNDAY NIT MATCHUP & MIXED TEASER

Must keep firing.....never been more prepared for Torurney
w/painstaking, strong reasearch
Convinced winning formula is time tested & proven
& WILL WIN OUT & we'll be UP on April 4
That said, facts are facts
Not a Great Opoening Tourney Weekend
4-6-1: Unacceptable Opening to first 3 Days of Toruney Week
Maddening why this is pattern each Torurney
Slow starts | hot finishers | IT ALL ENDS HERE

National Invitation Tournament
Sun Mar 20, 2011 |  NOON, EDT | ESPN-U
Webster Bank Arena at Harbor Yard | Fairfield, Connecticut

7 KENTSTATEGOLDENFLASHES 24-11 | 12-4 Conf (18-15 ATS)
6 FAIRFIELDSTAGS 25-7 | 15-3 Conf (14-11 ATS)

Unexpected Final HOME GAME for Fairfield Stags
NIT Region 2 Semi's | High Noon on Sunday

Fairfield's Hosting made possible by Kent State
Flashes stirring 1-pt upset over NCAA-Snub St Mary's
Sends Kent State on a 5-Day Odyssey
West Coast to Eastern Seaboard

BOTH teams coming off inspired Road Win Efforts
Over Quality Top-100 RPI Teams

Both Tms are primarily pass-cut teams
Neither Gain a large % of Pts from 3's, FT's

One key difference stands out like a turd in a bucket of milk here:
FAIRFIELD'S DEFENSIVE NUMBERS
Stags' #'s literally explode off the page
Not sure KENT will have seen a Defense quite like this one

FAIRFIELD DEFENSE (D-I)

• #1 D-PPP (0.88)
• #2 PPG ALWD (57.9)
• #3 ASST|T-OVER RATIO ALWD/FORCED (0.60)
• #7 TRUE SHOOTING% ALWD (47.3%)
• #8 ASST ALWD/GM (9.6)

& the thought that Fairfield plays in a weak Mid-Major?
Facts tell a different story:

CONFERENCE RPI:

• 16 MAAC
• 18 MAC

Few more factors:
FAIRFIELD's 7-0 | 222 Jr Ryan Olander 
#20 Nat'l in Blocks

Kent's Offense running so many curls into Lane
w/Starting Flashes Lineup Rolling in at
6-2 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 6-4 In addition to Main Kent Scorer 6-8 Jr Green
Olander really should have a banner day in the Paint

Fairfield is reportedly exceedingly jazzed about this Game
Why wouldn't they be?
Unexpected is an understatement

Stags looked to have solved some of their Offensive issues
Getting FG% UP & PPG also
Fairfield played well enough to hold Rutgers, Penn St & St Joe's
To 68 | 64 | 60 Pts
Just couldn't muster the Pts themselves to Overcome any one of those Opponents

Taking another Favorite here
Fairfield is primed to send Flashes Packing  

2 UNIT
KENT STATE
FAIRFIELD -4½ (BetUS)

1 UNIT | 5-PT TEASER
KENT STATE
FAIRFIELD | UNDER 134
To
NORTH CAROLINA
WASHINGTON | OVER 153 (Betonline)

As squarish as these two plays look,
I cannot fathom these tms staying over or under these numbers
#1 & #2 TEMPO TOURNEY TEAMS (NC & UW)
HEELS & DAWGS both weak FT Shooting Tms
& NC not great 3% | UW coming back to earth. also....
ALL TRUE - AND ALL 'OVER KILLERS'....
YET, neither have HIGH FT-PT or HIGH 3-PT-DISTRIBUTION either